6/3/2021

Jun 03, 2021


6/3/2021
The market found some strength overnight, with corn 10 cents and soybeans 27 cents higher at one point, but was sold-off immediately at the 8:30 open this morning and couldn't recover.  On modest volume and declining open interest, trading ranges were fairly large, as well, with a 32-cent spread in July corn and 46 cent window in July soybeans.  Fundamentals remain unchanged and our markets remain subject to money flow in and out.  Basis slips as we continue on towards the new crop delivery period as end users continue to gain coverage.  The rejuvenation in the market over the past week has given growers another opportunity to reward themselves with seldom seen prices and it’s probably best to take a historically good cash price over trying to pick highs.  New crop for 2022 should be given a hard look, as well.  We are one week out from our June WASDE report but trade hasn't given it much attention as most eyes are on next week's weather and the USDA acres numbers due out at the end of the month.  Spring wheat futures took a pause from their large run over the past week, finishing the day down 5 but still 95 cents higher from last Thursday. There wasn't much for news today except for the weekly ethanol report.  Production was up 23k bpd and stocks were up 608k bbls from the week prior.

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Jul 10, 2026
USDA report day was slightly friendly to the grain markets.
Corn:
25/26 corn carryout was pegged at 2.020 billion bushels vs an average guess of 2.073 billion.  The main changes to this year’s balance sheet had feed and residual usage up 150 million bushels while they decreased ethanol by 25 million bushels.  Corn Yield for next year was estimated at 183 bushel per acre, which was about as expected. 
Jun 11, 2026
The USDA report was noneventful and now we wait for the stocks and acres report on June 30th.  25/26 corn carryout was estimated at 2.145 billion vs an average guess of 2.138 billion.  26/27 corn carryout was estimated at 1.960 billion vs an average guess of 1.947 billion. 26/27 World corn carryout was estimated at 281.22 Million Tonnes vs an average guess of 278.51.  That is up 4 Million Tonnes from the May USDA report. 
May 12, 2026
Today was USDA report day.  Old crop corn carryout was pegged at 2.142 billion vs the average trade guess of 2.131 billion.  That is a 15 million bushel increase from the April report.  New crop 26/27 corn carryout was guessed at 1.957 billion vs an average trade guess of 1.933 billion.  The World old crop corn carryout was put at 296.95 million tonnes, vs an average trade guess of 296.33.