6/3/2021

Jun 03, 2021


6/3/2021
The market found some strength overnight, with corn 10 cents and soybeans 27 cents higher at one point, but was sold-off immediately at the 8:30 open this morning and couldn't recover.  On modest volume and declining open interest, trading ranges were fairly large, as well, with a 32-cent spread in July corn and 46 cent window in July soybeans.  Fundamentals remain unchanged and our markets remain subject to money flow in and out.  Basis slips as we continue on towards the new crop delivery period as end users continue to gain coverage.  The rejuvenation in the market over the past week has given growers another opportunity to reward themselves with seldom seen prices and it’s probably best to take a historically good cash price over trying to pick highs.  New crop for 2022 should be given a hard look, as well.  We are one week out from our June WASDE report but trade hasn't given it much attention as most eyes are on next week's weather and the USDA acres numbers due out at the end of the month.  Spring wheat futures took a pause from their large run over the past week, finishing the day down 5 but still 95 cents higher from last Thursday. There wasn't much for news today except for the weekly ethanol report.  Production was up 23k bpd and stocks were up 608k bbls from the week prior.

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Sep 12, 2025
USDA report day.  Corn and beans were trading higher pre-report on thoughts of a reduction to yields.  Well....we got what we were thinking but the USDA decided to throw a twist into the mix.  The 25/26 corn yield decreased slightly less than expected by 2.1 bu to 186.7 bpa, but they gave us the largest planted acreage shift on this report in at least the last 20 years (+1.4 mil acres) spurred an increase in production to 16,814 mbu.  25/26 ending stocks were slightly lowered by 7 mbu to 2,110 mbu. 
Aug 21, 2025
Today the market ran higher on rumors for positive SRE announcements coming soon.  Bean oil was up over $2.  Beans finished the day up 20 cents at 10.56 Nov futures.  There is a chance we could make a run at the 10.74 Nov highs from back in June.  If we get there, I am a seller.  Bean basis remains in the garbage, so a run higher in futures doesn't help that either.  We still don't have a trade deal, so I think any rally is short lived at this time. 
Aug 15, 2025
Corn and beans both had nice gains heading into the weekend.  Corn might seem terrible as of late, but for corn to only be down 2 cents since report day is impressive.  That was one of the most bearish reports for corn we have seen in quite some time.  Corn finished the week 13 cents off its lows and unchanged for the week.  New crop corn basis has softened a little on the week as the extra 2 million acres and 8 bushels of yield from the report has also scared a few exporters off.