6/3/2021

Jun 03, 2021


6/3/2021
The market found some strength overnight, with corn 10 cents and soybeans 27 cents higher at one point, but was sold-off immediately at the 8:30 open this morning and couldn't recover.  On modest volume and declining open interest, trading ranges were fairly large, as well, with a 32-cent spread in July corn and 46 cent window in July soybeans.  Fundamentals remain unchanged and our markets remain subject to money flow in and out.  Basis slips as we continue on towards the new crop delivery period as end users continue to gain coverage.  The rejuvenation in the market over the past week has given growers another opportunity to reward themselves with seldom seen prices and it’s probably best to take a historically good cash price over trying to pick highs.  New crop for 2022 should be given a hard look, as well.  We are one week out from our June WASDE report but trade hasn't given it much attention as most eyes are on next week's weather and the USDA acres numbers due out at the end of the month.  Spring wheat futures took a pause from their large run over the past week, finishing the day down 5 but still 95 cents higher from last Thursday. There wasn't much for news today except for the weekly ethanol report.  Production was up 23k bpd and stocks were up 608k bbls from the week prior.

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Aug 15, 2025
Corn and beans both had nice gains heading into the weekend.  Corn might seem terrible as of late, but for corn to only be down 2 cents since report day is impressive.  That was one of the most bearish reports for corn we have seen in quite some time.  Corn finished the week 13 cents off its lows and unchanged for the week.  New crop corn basis has softened a little on the week as the extra 2 million acres and 8 bushels of yield from the report has also scared a few exporters off. 
Aug 12, 2025
The USDA report today didn't treat the corn market very well.  Both corn acres and yield were higher the result has corn carryout over 2.1 billion bushels.  Corn yield was pegged at 188.8 bpa vs an estimate of 184.29 bpa.  How high is 188.8?  Well…the previous record was 179.3.  Planted corn acres were put at 97.3 million.  Total corn production is estimated at 16.742 billion bushels, which is 763 million more than the report estimates.
May 12, 2025
News broke Sunday that the USA and China have agreed to ease tensions and lower tariffs.  The US is lowering tariffs on Chinese goods from 145% to 30%.  China is lowering their import tariffs from 125% to 10%.  Talks will resume in the coming weeks.  This news had stocks, grains and oil higher overnight. Then of course we had a USDA grain report come out at 11:00 this morning.  That was also a bit friendly.