6/29/2021

Jun 29, 2021


6/29/2021
Two-sided action and mixed at the close in corn and soybeans heading into the big report day.  There was some volatility early in the day session but trading ranges were relatively small from late morning into the finish.  Weekly crop condition ratings were expected to improve after last week's rains but corn in the good/excellent category declined 1 point to 64% (65% last week, 73% last year) and soybeans maintained their 60% good/excellent rating (60% last week, 71% last year).  Spring wheat condition ratings continue to plummet, with only 20% of the crop in the good/excellent category, a 7% decline from last week.  While the really good rains have been spotty, it appears the crop situation in North Dakota may be improving.  The trade estimate of 2.6 million acres increase in corn from the March to June reports would be a record, if realized.  The total of increase of 4 million acres added between both corn and soybeans from the March to June reports would also be a record.  Keep calling in those rain reports from the past few days.  We appreciate every opportunity we get to chat with our customers and growers.   Reminder: Murdock will be unable to receive grain for the remainder of the week starting at 3pm tomorrow, June 30.  Murdock will resume normal receiving hours on Tuesday, July 6.

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Oct 09, 2026
USDA Report Update:
Well, the USDA gave us an absolute shocker this morning and raised the corn yield up to 181.2 bpa vs 178.5 in September.  The average trade guess was lower at 177.7 bpa.  The carryout is now up to 1.849 billion bushels vs 1.567 in September.  They raised Exports up 25 million, Feed and residual up 50 million and Ethanol up 50 million.  Corn is currently down 28 cents on this news.  This is an absolute shocker to the corn market. 
Sep 11, 2026
It is USDA report day and it seemed like one of the most important reports we have had in a while.  The USDA placed corn yield at 178.5 bpa vs an average guess of 178.2.  They were in line with expectations and admitting we have an issue brewing.  This likely won’t be our lowest yield we see, but it at least drew a line in the sand for a starting point. 
Jul 10, 2026
USDA report day was slightly friendly to the grain markets.
Corn:
25/26 corn carryout was pegged at 2.020 billion bushels vs an average guess of 2.073 billion.  The main changes to this year’s balance sheet had feed and residual usage up 150 million bushels while they decreased ethanol by 25 million bushels.  Corn Yield for next year was estimated at 183 bushel per acre, which was about as expected.