6/28/2021

Jun 28, 2021


6/28/2021
Despite some good rains across the grain belt throughout the weekend, fund and spec money poured back in at the start of overnight trade and the buying continued to build momentum throughout the day.  September corn, December corn, and August soybean contracts key reversed higher today while November beans hardly faltered from the opening bell Sunday night.  The weekend's rains were very beneficial, especially in our area, but were also isolated and spotty.  There was no USDA sale announcement this morning so we will have to look at the export sales report towards to end of the week to see if any rumors of Chinese new crop soybeans purchases can be confirmed.  Estimates for the quarterly grain stocks report show a year-to-year decline is predicted in corn, soybeans, and wheat.  We've seen what the market does on light news type of days so there is potential for some wild action on Wednesday with the report release.  The western part of the grain belt looks to return to the drier and warmer pattern over the next 6-10 days.  Reminder: Murdock will be servicing its grain handling system on Thursday, July 1 and Friday, July 2 and will not be able to receive grains either of those days.

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Feb 10, 2026
It was USDA report day today and it turned out to be a yawner.  The markets never really reacted to the report, and the grains finished the day about where they started with corn unchanged and beans up 12 on the day.  US corn carryout was pegged at 2.127 billion bushels vs the average trade guess of 2.227 billion.  World corn carryout was placed at 288.98 MMT vs the average trade guess of 290.48 MMT. 
Jan 12, 2026
Well, the USDA report had a bit of a surprise today and not in a good way.  Not only did they increase the 2025 corn yield, from 186.0 to 186.5, they also increased Harvest Acres from 90 million to 91.3 million.  That raised the total corn production to 17.021 billion, up an additional 269 million bushels from their previous estimate.  U.S. Ending Stocks are now estimated at 2.227 bbu, vs. 2.209 in Dec.  Report trade guesses were at 1.97 bbu.
Nov 14, 2025
It was USDA report day today and overall, it was bearish for both corn and beans.  Corn Yield was only reduced by .7 bpa down to 186 bpa.  The market was expecting closer to 184 bpa.  Corn production is estimated at 16.752 billion vs 16.814 billion in September.  They raised exports 100 million, which is debatable, but possible.  Ending stocks on corn were estimated at 2.154 billion bushels, which is up 44 million from September and about 29 million more than the market expected.