6/24/2021

Jun 24, 2021


6/24/2021
Grains took a beating overnight and into the morning break.  We ended the day mostly in red but finished strongly off the lows with some fractional gains in the 2021 corn trading months. Closes in corn were 20 cents, and soybeans 30 cents, above their bottom marks on the day.  It was rumored yesterday that China was in the market for new crop beans again and the USDA confirmed two new crop beans sales this morning with 132,000 tonnes to China and 260,000 tonnes to Unknown (14.4 mln bu total).  It sounds like China was still interested in more US new crop beans today so we will be waiting to see if the USDA flashes another 8am sale tomorrow morning.  Managed money continues to liquidate their long positions going into next week's planted acres and grain stocks reports.  Good rains in the "I" states this week and continued forecasts showing favorable conditions in key areas has kept selling pressure on the market.  Prepare yourself to see possible increases to both the corn and soybean 20/21 ending stocks numbers at it appears rationing has done its job and expect to see the soybean board return to a normal carry market as the summer passes.  Looks like our next best chance for rain is late Saturday evening through Sunday night.  Keep those fingers crossed!

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Sep 12, 2025
USDA report day.  Corn and beans were trading higher pre-report on thoughts of a reduction to yields.  Well....we got what we were thinking but the USDA decided to throw a twist into the mix.  The 25/26 corn yield decreased slightly less than expected by 2.1 bu to 186.7 bpa, but they gave us the largest planted acreage shift on this report in at least the last 20 years (+1.4 mil acres) spurred an increase in production to 16,814 mbu.  25/26 ending stocks were slightly lowered by 7 mbu to 2,110 mbu. 
Aug 21, 2025
Today the market ran higher on rumors for positive SRE announcements coming soon.  Bean oil was up over $2.  Beans finished the day up 20 cents at 10.56 Nov futures.  There is a chance we could make a run at the 10.74 Nov highs from back in June.  If we get there, I am a seller.  Bean basis remains in the garbage, so a run higher in futures doesn't help that either.  We still don't have a trade deal, so I think any rally is short lived at this time. 
Aug 15, 2025
Corn and beans both had nice gains heading into the weekend.  Corn might seem terrible as of late, but for corn to only be down 2 cents since report day is impressive.  That was one of the most bearish reports for corn we have seen in quite some time.  Corn finished the week 13 cents off its lows and unchanged for the week.  New crop corn basis has softened a little on the week as the extra 2 million acres and 8 bushels of yield from the report has also scared a few exporters off.