6/24/2021

Jun 24, 2021


6/24/2021
Grains took a beating overnight and into the morning break.  We ended the day mostly in red but finished strongly off the lows with some fractional gains in the 2021 corn trading months. Closes in corn were 20 cents, and soybeans 30 cents, above their bottom marks on the day.  It was rumored yesterday that China was in the market for new crop beans again and the USDA confirmed two new crop beans sales this morning with 132,000 tonnes to China and 260,000 tonnes to Unknown (14.4 mln bu total).  It sounds like China was still interested in more US new crop beans today so we will be waiting to see if the USDA flashes another 8am sale tomorrow morning.  Managed money continues to liquidate their long positions going into next week's planted acres and grain stocks reports.  Good rains in the "I" states this week and continued forecasts showing favorable conditions in key areas has kept selling pressure on the market.  Prepare yourself to see possible increases to both the corn and soybean 20/21 ending stocks numbers at it appears rationing has done its job and expect to see the soybean board return to a normal carry market as the summer passes.  Looks like our next best chance for rain is late Saturday evening through Sunday night.  Keep those fingers crossed!

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Jul 10, 2026
USDA report day was slightly friendly to the grain markets.
Corn:
25/26 corn carryout was pegged at 2.020 billion bushels vs an average guess of 2.073 billion.  The main changes to this year’s balance sheet had feed and residual usage up 150 million bushels while they decreased ethanol by 25 million bushels.  Corn Yield for next year was estimated at 183 bushel per acre, which was about as expected. 
Jun 11, 2026
The USDA report was noneventful and now we wait for the stocks and acres report on June 30th.  25/26 corn carryout was estimated at 2.145 billion vs an average guess of 2.138 billion.  26/27 corn carryout was estimated at 1.960 billion vs an average guess of 1.947 billion. 26/27 World corn carryout was estimated at 281.22 Million Tonnes vs an average guess of 278.51.  That is up 4 Million Tonnes from the May USDA report. 
May 12, 2026
Today was USDA report day.  Old crop corn carryout was pegged at 2.142 billion vs the average trade guess of 2.131 billion.  That is a 15 million bushel increase from the April report.  New crop 26/27 corn carryout was guessed at 1.957 billion vs an average trade guess of 1.933 billion.  The World old crop corn carryout was put at 296.95 million tonnes, vs an average trade guess of 296.33.