6/24/2021

Jun 24, 2021


6/24/2021
Grains took a beating overnight and into the morning break.  We ended the day mostly in red but finished strongly off the lows with some fractional gains in the 2021 corn trading months. Closes in corn were 20 cents, and soybeans 30 cents, above their bottom marks on the day.  It was rumored yesterday that China was in the market for new crop beans again and the USDA confirmed two new crop beans sales this morning with 132,000 tonnes to China and 260,000 tonnes to Unknown (14.4 mln bu total).  It sounds like China was still interested in more US new crop beans today so we will be waiting to see if the USDA flashes another 8am sale tomorrow morning.  Managed money continues to liquidate their long positions going into next week's planted acres and grain stocks reports.  Good rains in the "I" states this week and continued forecasts showing favorable conditions in key areas has kept selling pressure on the market.  Prepare yourself to see possible increases to both the corn and soybean 20/21 ending stocks numbers at it appears rationing has done its job and expect to see the soybean board return to a normal carry market as the summer passes.  Looks like our next best chance for rain is late Saturday evening through Sunday night.  Keep those fingers crossed!

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Feb 10, 2026
It was USDA report day today and it turned out to be a yawner.  The markets never really reacted to the report, and the grains finished the day about where they started with corn unchanged and beans up 12 on the day.  US corn carryout was pegged at 2.127 billion bushels vs the average trade guess of 2.227 billion.  World corn carryout was placed at 288.98 MMT vs the average trade guess of 290.48 MMT. 
Jan 12, 2026
Well, the USDA report had a bit of a surprise today and not in a good way.  Not only did they increase the 2025 corn yield, from 186.0 to 186.5, they also increased Harvest Acres from 90 million to 91.3 million.  That raised the total corn production to 17.021 billion, up an additional 269 million bushels from their previous estimate.  U.S. Ending Stocks are now estimated at 2.227 bbu, vs. 2.209 in Dec.  Report trade guesses were at 1.97 bbu.
Nov 14, 2025
It was USDA report day today and overall, it was bearish for both corn and beans.  Corn Yield was only reduced by .7 bpa down to 186 bpa.  The market was expecting closer to 184 bpa.  Corn production is estimated at 16.752 billion vs 16.814 billion in September.  They raised exports 100 million, which is debatable, but possible.  Ending stocks on corn were estimated at 2.154 billion bushels, which is up 44 million from September and about 29 million more than the market expected.