6/24/2021

Jun 24, 2021


6/24/2021
Grains took a beating overnight and into the morning break.  We ended the day mostly in red but finished strongly off the lows with some fractional gains in the 2021 corn trading months. Closes in corn were 20 cents, and soybeans 30 cents, above their bottom marks on the day.  It was rumored yesterday that China was in the market for new crop beans again and the USDA confirmed two new crop beans sales this morning with 132,000 tonnes to China and 260,000 tonnes to Unknown (14.4 mln bu total).  It sounds like China was still interested in more US new crop beans today so we will be waiting to see if the USDA flashes another 8am sale tomorrow morning.  Managed money continues to liquidate their long positions going into next week's planted acres and grain stocks reports.  Good rains in the "I" states this week and continued forecasts showing favorable conditions in key areas has kept selling pressure on the market.  Prepare yourself to see possible increases to both the corn and soybean 20/21 ending stocks numbers at it appears rationing has done its job and expect to see the soybean board return to a normal carry market as the summer passes.  Looks like our next best chance for rain is late Saturday evening through Sunday night.  Keep those fingers crossed!

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Mar 31, 2025
USDA reported corn planting acres at 95.326 million acres of corn, which would be up a little more than 5% from 2024's final number and the second highest March figure of the last ten years behind only 2020's estimate of 96.99 mil acres.  US corn stocks as of March 1st were seen at 81.51 billion bushels, which was exactly what the trade had expected and was down just over 2% from March 1 of 2024.  USDA said farmers intended to plant 83.495 million acres of soybeans, which would be down about 4% from last year and was just a hair smaller than what the trade was looking for.  March 1 soybean stocks were pegged at 1.91 billion bu's, which again was nearly exactly as the trade had expected, and was up 3.5% compared to March 1, 2024.
Mar 11, 2025
The monthly USDA WASDE report was today and it was about as boring as it can get.  The USDA took the month off leaving corn and beans carryouts unchanged.  Corn remains at 1.540 billion bushels and beans at 380 million bushels.  World ending stocks were slightly lowered on both corn and beans.  World corn was pegged at 288.94 million tonnes vs 290.3 million tonnes previously.  World beans were pegged at 121.4 million tonnes vs 124.3 million tonnes previously.  All of the South American crop production estimates were also left unchanged.  
Aug 30, 2024
Corn picks up 10 cents and soybeans improve just over 25 cents on the week to go into the holiday weekend on a positive note.  Soybean export sales have picked up the pace in a big way.  At the end of last week, sales...