6/22/2021

Jun 22, 2021


6/22/2021
Volatility, more volatility, the volatility continues.  Two-sided action in both corn and soybeans all throughout the overnight and through mid-day until updated weather models showed a high possibility of excess rain starting in eastern Iowa and spreading into Illinois.  The weather models also added moisture into the forecast for the balance of the grain belt, minus the Dakotas.  Corn condition rating slipped again this week, with the U.S. crop seen at 65% good/excellent, a 3% cut from last week.  Soybeans in the good/excellent category were also lower this week, declining from 62% to 60% g/e.  Spring wheat was the bright spot on the markets today, up 13-17 cents, as crop conditions are the worst since 1989.  Across the country, corn basis slips a little and soybean basis appears to have steadied going forward.  News/updates on the South American corn crop has been extremely quiet as of late which probably means Brazil and Argentina are harvesting a lot more corn than what we thought they were going to have.  Overall, a quiet news day.  Taking a look on the bright side, there's only 6 more months of these market swings until the USDA tells us what we have for a crop.  

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Jun 11, 2026
The USDA report was noneventful and now we wait for the stocks and acres report on June 30th.  25/26 corn carryout was estimated at 2.145 billion vs an average guess of 2.138 billion.  26/27 corn carryout was estimated at 1.960 billion vs an average guess of 1.947 billion. 26/27 World corn carryout was estimated at 281.22 Million Tonnes vs an average guess of 278.51.  That is up 4 Million Tonnes from the May USDA report. 
May 12, 2026
Today was USDA report day.  Old crop corn carryout was pegged at 2.142 billion vs the average trade guess of 2.131 billion.  That is a 15 million bushel increase from the April report.  New crop 26/27 corn carryout was guessed at 1.957 billion vs an average trade guess of 1.933 billion.  The World old crop corn carryout was put at 296.95 million tonnes, vs an average trade guess of 296.33.
Feb 10, 2026
It was USDA report day today and it turned out to be a yawner.  The markets never really reacted to the report, and the grains finished the day about where they started with corn unchanged and beans up 12 on the day.  US corn carryout was pegged at 2.127 billion bushels vs the average trade guess of 2.227 billion.  World corn carryout was placed at 288.98 MMT vs the average trade guess of 290.48 MMT.