6/20/2024

Jun 20, 2024


The mid-week holiday gives the market a second case of the Mondays this week. After some recovery in the previous session, the grain complex just could not find a footing on Thursday. Wheat and soybeans were hit the hardest with double-digit losses on the day. With nothing supportive to lean on, that was the writing on the wall for corn for the day which was trading 10 lower in the final 15 minutes of the session. The sell-off over the past two weeks has taken out a fair amount of the potential downside in next week's acres and quarterly stocks reports. Once we consider the conditions some of this crop was planted in, the potential for prevent plant, and get a better idea on current moisture conditions (dry or saturated), trade may not be able to beat the market down much more going into this report.

Today we saw a yearly low for Nov 24 soybeans and a multi-year low for the November contract month.

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Jun 11, 2026
The USDA report was noneventful and now we wait for the stocks and acres report on June 30th.  25/26 corn carryout was estimated at 2.145 billion vs an average guess of 2.138 billion.  26/27 corn carryout was estimated at 1.960 billion vs an average guess of 1.947 billion. 26/27 World corn carryout was estimated at 281.22 Million Tonnes vs an average guess of 278.51.  That is up 4 Million Tonnes from the May USDA report. 
May 12, 2026
Today was USDA report day.  Old crop corn carryout was pegged at 2.142 billion vs the average trade guess of 2.131 billion.  That is a 15 million bushel increase from the April report.  New crop 26/27 corn carryout was guessed at 1.957 billion vs an average trade guess of 1.933 billion.  The World old crop corn carryout was put at 296.95 million tonnes, vs an average trade guess of 296.33.
Feb 10, 2026
It was USDA report day today and it turned out to be a yawner.  The markets never really reacted to the report, and the grains finished the day about where they started with corn unchanged and beans up 12 on the day.  US corn carryout was pegged at 2.127 billion bushels vs the average trade guess of 2.227 billion.  World corn carryout was placed at 288.98 MMT vs the average trade guess of 290.48 MMT.