6/2/2022

Jun 02, 2022


6/2/2022
Corn managed to mostly stop the bleeding today and traded inside the range of 9-12 cents.  Soybeans bounced back in a big way during the day session after the USDA announced the sale of 352,000 tonnes of soybeans for delivery to Pakistan with 55,000 tonnes delivered in 2021/22 and 297,000 tonnes delivered in 2022/23.  Soybeans are now back within 10-15 cents of Tuesday's highs, which they traded before turning extremely lower that day.  Much of this week's risk-off and liquidation was partially  spurred into motion by weather forecasts that appear encouraging for wrapping up planting season.  Weekly ethanol data showed output up 57,000 barrels/day to 1.07 mln bpd and stocks off 751,000 barrels down to 22.96 mln bbls.  One of the more interesting headlines as of late was the Ukrainian embassy in Beirut announcing that Russia had shipped an estimated 100,000 tonnes of stolen Ukrainian wheat to Syria.  Shortly after the midday point, Russia announced that it is ready to guarantee safety of vessels carrying grain from Ukraine but the market seemed unaffected and took it in stride.

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Feb 10, 2026
It was USDA report day today and it turned out to be a yawner.  The markets never really reacted to the report, and the grains finished the day about where they started with corn unchanged and beans up 12 on the day.  US corn carryout was pegged at 2.127 billion bushels vs the average trade guess of 2.227 billion.  World corn carryout was placed at 288.98 MMT vs the average trade guess of 290.48 MMT. 
Jan 12, 2026
Well, the USDA report had a bit of a surprise today and not in a good way.  Not only did they increase the 2025 corn yield, from 186.0 to 186.5, they also increased Harvest Acres from 90 million to 91.3 million.  That raised the total corn production to 17.021 billion, up an additional 269 million bushels from their previous estimate.  U.S. Ending Stocks are now estimated at 2.227 bbu, vs. 2.209 in Dec.  Report trade guesses were at 1.97 bbu.
Nov 14, 2025
It was USDA report day today and overall, it was bearish for both corn and beans.  Corn Yield was only reduced by .7 bpa down to 186 bpa.  The market was expecting closer to 184 bpa.  Corn production is estimated at 16.752 billion vs 16.814 billion in September.  They raised exports 100 million, which is debatable, but possible.  Ending stocks on corn were estimated at 2.154 billion bushels, which is up 44 million from September and about 29 million more than the market expected.