6/17/2024

Jun 17, 2024


Down hard across the grain complex to begin the week.  Corn finished 6-7 cents lower and soybeans closed 16-22 cents lower.  It's no secret that there is a variety of little things not perfect with the corn crop.  The question is can all of those little things come together and spark a rally while demand is poor?  Our acres number at the end of the month just became that much more important after a failed rally.  The overall outlook for soybeans remains poor.  Export demand is nill and too many acres put into production in South America.  Export inspections came in above the average expectations for corn and soybeans to keep things moving.  NOPA crush for May was a record for the month with 183.625 million bushels crushed.  Well above the 178.4 mln bu. estimate.  Oil stocks came in a 1.724 billion pounds versus the estimate of 1.775 bln lbs.

The markets will be closed on Wednesday for Juneteenth but Glacial Plains will be open.  No grain will be purchased on Wednesday.

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Sep 12, 2025
USDA report day.  Corn and beans were trading higher pre-report on thoughts of a reduction to yields.  Well....we got what we were thinking but the USDA decided to throw a twist into the mix.  The 25/26 corn yield decreased slightly less than expected by 2.1 bu to 186.7 bpa, but they gave us the largest planted acreage shift on this report in at least the last 20 years (+1.4 mil acres) spurred an increase in production to 16,814 mbu.  25/26 ending stocks were slightly lowered by 7 mbu to 2,110 mbu. 
Aug 21, 2025
Today the market ran higher on rumors for positive SRE announcements coming soon.  Bean oil was up over $2.  Beans finished the day up 20 cents at 10.56 Nov futures.  There is a chance we could make a run at the 10.74 Nov highs from back in June.  If we get there, I am a seller.  Bean basis remains in the garbage, so a run higher in futures doesn't help that either.  We still don't have a trade deal, so I think any rally is short lived at this time. 
Aug 15, 2025
Corn and beans both had nice gains heading into the weekend.  Corn might seem terrible as of late, but for corn to only be down 2 cents since report day is impressive.  That was one of the most bearish reports for corn we have seen in quite some time.  Corn finished the week 13 cents off its lows and unchanged for the week.  New crop corn basis has softened a little on the week as the extra 2 million acres and 8 bushels of yield from the report has also scared a few exporters off.