6/17/2024

Jun 17, 2024


Down hard across the grain complex to begin the week.  Corn finished 6-7 cents lower and soybeans closed 16-22 cents lower.  It's no secret that there is a variety of little things not perfect with the corn crop.  The question is can all of those little things come together and spark a rally while demand is poor?  Our acres number at the end of the month just became that much more important after a failed rally.  The overall outlook for soybeans remains poor.  Export demand is nill and too many acres put into production in South America.  Export inspections came in above the average expectations for corn and soybeans to keep things moving.  NOPA crush for May was a record for the month with 183.625 million bushels crushed.  Well above the 178.4 mln bu. estimate.  Oil stocks came in a 1.724 billion pounds versus the estimate of 1.775 bln lbs.

The markets will be closed on Wednesday for Juneteenth but Glacial Plains will be open.  No grain will be purchased on Wednesday.

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Jul 10, 2026
USDA report day was slightly friendly to the grain markets.
Corn:
25/26 corn carryout was pegged at 2.020 billion bushels vs an average guess of 2.073 billion.  The main changes to this year’s balance sheet had feed and residual usage up 150 million bushels while they decreased ethanol by 25 million bushels.  Corn Yield for next year was estimated at 183 bushel per acre, which was about as expected. 
Jun 11, 2026
The USDA report was noneventful and now we wait for the stocks and acres report on June 30th.  25/26 corn carryout was estimated at 2.145 billion vs an average guess of 2.138 billion.  26/27 corn carryout was estimated at 1.960 billion vs an average guess of 1.947 billion. 26/27 World corn carryout was estimated at 281.22 Million Tonnes vs an average guess of 278.51.  That is up 4 Million Tonnes from the May USDA report. 
May 12, 2026
Today was USDA report day.  Old crop corn carryout was pegged at 2.142 billion vs the average trade guess of 2.131 billion.  That is a 15 million bushel increase from the April report.  New crop 26/27 corn carryout was guessed at 1.957 billion vs an average trade guess of 1.933 billion.  The World old crop corn carryout was put at 296.95 million tonnes, vs an average trade guess of 296.33.