6/17/2024

Jun 17, 2024


Down hard across the grain complex to begin the week.  Corn finished 6-7 cents lower and soybeans closed 16-22 cents lower.  It's no secret that there is a variety of little things not perfect with the corn crop.  The question is can all of those little things come together and spark a rally while demand is poor?  Our acres number at the end of the month just became that much more important after a failed rally.  The overall outlook for soybeans remains poor.  Export demand is nill and too many acres put into production in South America.  Export inspections came in above the average expectations for corn and soybeans to keep things moving.  NOPA crush for May was a record for the month with 183.625 million bushels crushed.  Well above the 178.4 mln bu. estimate.  Oil stocks came in a 1.724 billion pounds versus the estimate of 1.775 bln lbs.

The markets will be closed on Wednesday for Juneteenth but Glacial Plains will be open.  No grain will be purchased on Wednesday.

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Feb 10, 2026
It was USDA report day today and it turned out to be a yawner.  The markets never really reacted to the report, and the grains finished the day about where they started with corn unchanged and beans up 12 on the day.  US corn carryout was pegged at 2.127 billion bushels vs the average trade guess of 2.227 billion.  World corn carryout was placed at 288.98 MMT vs the average trade guess of 290.48 MMT. 
Jan 12, 2026
Well, the USDA report had a bit of a surprise today and not in a good way.  Not only did they increase the 2025 corn yield, from 186.0 to 186.5, they also increased Harvest Acres from 90 million to 91.3 million.  That raised the total corn production to 17.021 billion, up an additional 269 million bushels from their previous estimate.  U.S. Ending Stocks are now estimated at 2.227 bbu, vs. 2.209 in Dec.  Report trade guesses were at 1.97 bbu.
Nov 14, 2025
It was USDA report day today and overall, it was bearish for both corn and beans.  Corn Yield was only reduced by .7 bpa down to 186 bpa.  The market was expecting closer to 184 bpa.  Corn production is estimated at 16.752 billion vs 16.814 billion in September.  They raised exports 100 million, which is debatable, but possible.  Ending stocks on corn were estimated at 2.154 billion bushels, which is up 44 million from September and about 29 million more than the market expected.