6/11/2021

Jun 11, 2021


6/11/2021
Today we experienced first-hand how firm of a grip the weather has on our markets.  Despite rainfall totals in Iowa, Nebraska, Minnesota, and the Dakotas varying from only 0 to 1" total, trade felt the pressure to sell.  Soybeans were also had some lingering weakness from yesterday's ending stock increase in the WASDE report.  Overall, the weather story will continue to provide bullish support to both corn and soybeans going into next week where crop condition ratings are expected to decline.  Some areas in the western corn belt have received crop saving rains this week but eastern Iowa has virtually missed out entirely on any precipitation this week.  Weekly finishes: cash corn down 6 cents, new crop corn 20 higher, cash beans 65 lower on the week, and new crop beans 5 cents higher.  Looking forward into next week, the outlooks continue to show a bias towards dry, warm weather across the entire corn belt, with high probabilities of above average temperatures and below average rainfall.  In terms of news, it was a quiet today but this week's trade volume in corn and soybeans was some of the largest we've had since early May.  The effect of a weather market can be seen quiet easily on the spring wheat charts.  After setting contract highs early Monday morning, spring wheat continues to fall back after a parched North Dakota received good rainfall this week.

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Feb 10, 2026
It was USDA report day today and it turned out to be a yawner.  The markets never really reacted to the report, and the grains finished the day about where they started with corn unchanged and beans up 12 on the day.  US corn carryout was pegged at 2.127 billion bushels vs the average trade guess of 2.227 billion.  World corn carryout was placed at 288.98 MMT vs the average trade guess of 290.48 MMT. 
Jan 12, 2026
Well, the USDA report had a bit of a surprise today and not in a good way.  Not only did they increase the 2025 corn yield, from 186.0 to 186.5, they also increased Harvest Acres from 90 million to 91.3 million.  That raised the total corn production to 17.021 billion, up an additional 269 million bushels from their previous estimate.  U.S. Ending Stocks are now estimated at 2.227 bbu, vs. 2.209 in Dec.  Report trade guesses were at 1.97 bbu.
Nov 14, 2025
It was USDA report day today and overall, it was bearish for both corn and beans.  Corn Yield was only reduced by .7 bpa down to 186 bpa.  The market was expecting closer to 184 bpa.  Corn production is estimated at 16.752 billion vs 16.814 billion in September.  They raised exports 100 million, which is debatable, but possible.  Ending stocks on corn were estimated at 2.154 billion bushels, which is up 44 million from September and about 29 million more than the market expected.