6/10/2022

Jun 10, 2022


6/10/2022
Not too much excitement in this month's WASDE report but a surprising finish on the board given the fresh information.  The USDA maybe gave us the first sign of demand destruction in corn (high prices cure high prices) with a 50 million bushel cut to this year's corn export estimate.  Results overall were a net increase of 45 million bushels to this year's ending stocks.  Soybean exports were increased 30 million bushels which was also the net change in this year's ending stocks.  This was slightly friendly compared to the pre-report trade estimates.  The doom and gloom over the soybean crop in South America is all but over, the USDA added approximately 80 million bushels to their S.A. production estimates for this year.
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Sep 12, 2025
USDA report day.  Corn and beans were trading higher pre-report on thoughts of a reduction to yields.  Well....we got what we were thinking but the USDA decided to throw a twist into the mix.  The 25/26 corn yield decreased slightly less than expected by 2.1 bu to 186.7 bpa, but they gave us the largest planted acreage shift on this report in at least the last 20 years (+1.4 mil acres) spurred an increase in production to 16,814 mbu.  25/26 ending stocks were slightly lowered by 7 mbu to 2,110 mbu. 
Aug 21, 2025
Today the market ran higher on rumors for positive SRE announcements coming soon.  Bean oil was up over $2.  Beans finished the day up 20 cents at 10.56 Nov futures.  There is a chance we could make a run at the 10.74 Nov highs from back in June.  If we get there, I am a seller.  Bean basis remains in the garbage, so a run higher in futures doesn't help that either.  We still don't have a trade deal, so I think any rally is short lived at this time. 
Aug 15, 2025
Corn and beans both had nice gains heading into the weekend.  Corn might seem terrible as of late, but for corn to only be down 2 cents since report day is impressive.  That was one of the most bearish reports for corn we have seen in quite some time.  Corn finished the week 13 cents off its lows and unchanged for the week.  New crop corn basis has softened a little on the week as the extra 2 million acres and 8 bushels of yield from the report has also scared a few exporters off.