5/9/2024

May 09, 2024


Markets were steady-higher through the overnight session until the East coast crowd came online at 8 a.m. their time. Corn and soybeans quickly flipped to the red and headed into the coffee break lower where they spent the remainder of Thursday. Soybeans felt it the most, giving up another 13-19 cents on the day. We're still well above the starting point of the rally on soybeans with potential support at moving averages and the 1200 handle below the current price levels. Just some basic technical analysis says corn has pulled back off of nearest highs far enough. Trade is expecting the USDA to print some unfriendly 2024/25 crop numbers in tomorrow's report. We will likely see the 181-corn yield remain unchanged. Overall, the past two sessions feel like trade is just trying to get out in front of a report that’s expected to be bearish and we can say a lot of the expected bearishness is priced in at this point. The USDA did announce a small export sale this morning for 132,080 tonnes of corn to Mexico split between the 2023/24 and 2024/25 marketing years.

4 week drought monitor comparison. Some notable improvement across Iowa, Minnesota, and Wisconsin

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Sep 12, 2025
USDA report day.  Corn and beans were trading higher pre-report on thoughts of a reduction to yields.  Well....we got what we were thinking but the USDA decided to throw a twist into the mix.  The 25/26 corn yield decreased slightly less than expected by 2.1 bu to 186.7 bpa, but they gave us the largest planted acreage shift on this report in at least the last 20 years (+1.4 mil acres) spurred an increase in production to 16,814 mbu.  25/26 ending stocks were slightly lowered by 7 mbu to 2,110 mbu. 
Aug 21, 2025
Today the market ran higher on rumors for positive SRE announcements coming soon.  Bean oil was up over $2.  Beans finished the day up 20 cents at 10.56 Nov futures.  There is a chance we could make a run at the 10.74 Nov highs from back in June.  If we get there, I am a seller.  Bean basis remains in the garbage, so a run higher in futures doesn't help that either.  We still don't have a trade deal, so I think any rally is short lived at this time. 
Aug 15, 2025
Corn and beans both had nice gains heading into the weekend.  Corn might seem terrible as of late, but for corn to only be down 2 cents since report day is impressive.  That was one of the most bearish reports for corn we have seen in quite some time.  Corn finished the week 13 cents off its lows and unchanged for the week.  New crop corn basis has softened a little on the week as the extra 2 million acres and 8 bushels of yield from the report has also scared a few exporters off.