5/8/2023

May 08, 2023


A mostly uneventful day for corn and soybeans. Trade was higher overnight but had faded back to two-sided by sunrise. Corn managed to finish unchanged on the July contract but ended the day 4-5 cents lower from September on out. Soybeans were down 2-8 cents. Wheat looked like it was going to enjoy some large gains today with some 20 cent higher trade but had some mixed looks by mid-day. Regardless, I think we can determine that wheat lent some support to keep corn and soybeans from drifting too far into the red today. Weekly export inspections continue to be inconsistent for corn. After last week's solid showing, corn was a miss to the low side with 963k tonnnes shipped last week. Soybean shipments were vanilla at 395k tonnes but that is average volume for this time of year. We only have about 1/3 of the marketing year remaining. With corn export inspections and sales lagging well behind the pace needed to meet the USDA's forecast, how will they approach their demand numbers? Corn use for ethanol is also well behind its forecasted number. We may get some answers in Friday's report.

Trade estimates for this week’s crop progress report.
outlook.png

Read More News

Aug 21, 2025
Today the market ran higher on rumors for positive SRE announcements coming soon.  Bean oil was up over $2.  Beans finished the day up 20 cents at 10.56 Nov futures.  There is a chance we could make a run at the 10.74 Nov highs from back in June.  If we get there, I am a seller.  Bean basis remains in the garbage, so a run higher in futures doesn't help that either.  We still don't have a trade deal, so I think any rally is short lived at this time. 
Aug 15, 2025
Corn and beans both had nice gains heading into the weekend.  Corn might seem terrible as of late, but for corn to only be down 2 cents since report day is impressive.  That was one of the most bearish reports for corn we have seen in quite some time.  Corn finished the week 13 cents off its lows and unchanged for the week.  New crop corn basis has softened a little on the week as the extra 2 million acres and 8 bushels of yield from the report has also scared a few exporters off. 
Aug 12, 2025
The USDA report today didn't treat the corn market very well.  Both corn acres and yield were higher the result has corn carryout over 2.1 billion bushels.  Corn yield was pegged at 188.8 bpa vs an estimate of 184.29 bpa.  How high is 188.8?  Well…the previous record was 179.3.  Planted corn acres were put at 97.3 million.  Total corn production is estimated at 16.742 billion bushels, which is 763 million more than the report estimates.