May 06, 2021

Another day of trade ends and its one very similar to what we've seen over the course of the previous 5 weeks.  Today sees another fresh set of contract highs and the spread between cash-new crop corn values tightened by another 12 cents on the board.  There are technical indicators all over signaling we are extremely overbought and need a steep correction but it is not deterring the money from going long.  These 10-25 cent moves higher almost seem effortless at this point but stay diligent to the fact that the 10-25 cent moves lower will be similarly effortless when the market breaks lower.  Next Wednesday, the USDA will put out the monthly WASDE report, giving us fresh fundamentals to trade, but after a 5-week rally, can anything in the report continue the push higher?  Some sideways, range trade would be extremely healthy right now and provide the market a much-needed breather.  New crop 22 and 23 values are a discount but history has shown that there is a real possibility of those current values being extremely coveted at the delivery period.  Already hearing some in our area are 100% planted for both corn and beans and expect a large majority of operations in the territory will be completed with planting by the end of the weekend.

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