5/5/2022

May 05, 2022


5/5/2022
Large, double-digit moves higher in wheat resulted in spillover support for corn and soybeans.  Soybeans traded 20-27 higher on the day but finished well off of their highs, being brought back down to earth by the soy oil and meal trade.  Weekly export sales for corn were on target with 783k tonnes of old crop and 738k tonnes of new crop sold last week.  Old crop soybean sales outperformed estimates with 735k tonnes sold and new crop soybean sales were within range with 407k tonnes sold.  Total soybean sales exceed the amount necessary to meet the USDA forecast but it still needs to be shipped.  There were no 8 a.m. announcements from the USDA this morning.  The big move in wheat today was driven by poor crop ratings, delayed seeding of spring wheat, and problems with wheat exports and production in India.  Overall, it's more about RISK to wheat production than actual issues. 
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Jun 11, 2026
The USDA report was noneventful and now we wait for the stocks and acres report on June 30th.  25/26 corn carryout was estimated at 2.145 billion vs an average guess of 2.138 billion.  26/27 corn carryout was estimated at 1.960 billion vs an average guess of 1.947 billion. 26/27 World corn carryout was estimated at 281.22 Million Tonnes vs an average guess of 278.51.  That is up 4 Million Tonnes from the May USDA report. 
May 12, 2026
Today was USDA report day.  Old crop corn carryout was pegged at 2.142 billion vs the average trade guess of 2.131 billion.  That is a 15 million bushel increase from the April report.  New crop 26/27 corn carryout was guessed at 1.957 billion vs an average trade guess of 1.933 billion.  The World old crop corn carryout was put at 296.95 million tonnes, vs an average trade guess of 296.33.
Feb 10, 2026
It was USDA report day today and it turned out to be a yawner.  The markets never really reacted to the report, and the grains finished the day about where they started with corn unchanged and beans up 12 on the day.  US corn carryout was pegged at 2.127 billion bushels vs the average trade guess of 2.227 billion.  World corn carryout was placed at 288.98 MMT vs the average trade guess of 290.48 MMT.