5/31/2024

May 31, 2024


The markets showed some promise during the overnight session with corn trading steady 3-5 cents higher and soybeans hanging around 11-14 cents higher.  Any signs of life were sucked out of the market with another dull weekly export sales report.  Everything was reported within their expected ranges with 810k tonnes of old crop corn and 329k tonnes of old crop beans sold.  New crop sales totaled 188k tonnes of corn but only 7k tonnes of soybeans.  Over the past 10 years, the USDA's target for new crop soybean sales averages 10% covered.  Today we sit at only 1.9% covered, the lowest percentage since 2001/02.  Price action was also dictated today with month end covering from managed money and spec funds.  Monday could be a different story.  For the month of May, July corn futures were virtually unchanged and July soybeans gained 44 cents.  The monthly move for December corn was down 2 cents and November soybeans picked up 28 cents.

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Sep 12, 2025
USDA report day.  Corn and beans were trading higher pre-report on thoughts of a reduction to yields.  Well....we got what we were thinking but the USDA decided to throw a twist into the mix.  The 25/26 corn yield decreased slightly less than expected by 2.1 bu to 186.7 bpa, but they gave us the largest planted acreage shift on this report in at least the last 20 years (+1.4 mil acres) spurred an increase in production to 16,814 mbu.  25/26 ending stocks were slightly lowered by 7 mbu to 2,110 mbu. 
Aug 21, 2025
Today the market ran higher on rumors for positive SRE announcements coming soon.  Bean oil was up over $2.  Beans finished the day up 20 cents at 10.56 Nov futures.  There is a chance we could make a run at the 10.74 Nov highs from back in June.  If we get there, I am a seller.  Bean basis remains in the garbage, so a run higher in futures doesn't help that either.  We still don't have a trade deal, so I think any rally is short lived at this time. 
Aug 15, 2025
Corn and beans both had nice gains heading into the weekend.  Corn might seem terrible as of late, but for corn to only be down 2 cents since report day is impressive.  That was one of the most bearish reports for corn we have seen in quite some time.  Corn finished the week 13 cents off its lows and unchanged for the week.  New crop corn basis has softened a little on the week as the extra 2 million acres and 8 bushels of yield from the report has also scared a few exporters off.