5/31/2024

May 31, 2024


The markets showed some promise during the overnight session with corn trading steady 3-5 cents higher and soybeans hanging around 11-14 cents higher.  Any signs of life were sucked out of the market with another dull weekly export sales report.  Everything was reported within their expected ranges with 810k tonnes of old crop corn and 329k tonnes of old crop beans sold.  New crop sales totaled 188k tonnes of corn but only 7k tonnes of soybeans.  Over the past 10 years, the USDA's target for new crop soybean sales averages 10% covered.  Today we sit at only 1.9% covered, the lowest percentage since 2001/02.  Price action was also dictated today with month end covering from managed money and spec funds.  Monday could be a different story.  For the month of May, July corn futures were virtually unchanged and July soybeans gained 44 cents.  The monthly move for December corn was down 2 cents and November soybeans picked up 28 cents.

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Jun 11, 2026
The USDA report was noneventful and now we wait for the stocks and acres report on June 30th.  25/26 corn carryout was estimated at 2.145 billion vs an average guess of 2.138 billion.  26/27 corn carryout was estimated at 1.960 billion vs an average guess of 1.947 billion. 26/27 World corn carryout was estimated at 281.22 Million Tonnes vs an average guess of 278.51.  That is up 4 Million Tonnes from the May USDA report. 
May 12, 2026
Today was USDA report day.  Old crop corn carryout was pegged at 2.142 billion vs the average trade guess of 2.131 billion.  That is a 15 million bushel increase from the April report.  New crop 26/27 corn carryout was guessed at 1.957 billion vs an average trade guess of 1.933 billion.  The World old crop corn carryout was put at 296.95 million tonnes, vs an average trade guess of 296.33.
Feb 10, 2026
It was USDA report day today and it turned out to be a yawner.  The markets never really reacted to the report, and the grains finished the day about where they started with corn unchanged and beans up 12 on the day.  US corn carryout was pegged at 2.127 billion bushels vs the average trade guess of 2.227 billion.  World corn carryout was placed at 288.98 MMT vs the average trade guess of 290.48 MMT.