5/30/2023

May 30, 2023


After the long weekend, corn and soybeans were in steady, two-sided trade overnight and then selling flooded in shortly after the 8:30 am opening.  Trade was essentially all about weather.  Rains materialized over the weekend, bringing some relief to the areas of western Nebraska and southwest Minnesota.  Soybeans lead the pitfall today, trading as much as 43 cents down.  The July 23 soybean contract closed below the $13 handle for the first time since January 2022.  The recent rains also pressured wheat with the front-months finishing 25-35 cents lower.  Almost like flipping a switch, new crop corn contracts bounced off of their lows when the latest weather models were released.  U.S. export inspections were within expectations and on the upper end for corn with 1.313 mln tonnes shipped.  This is the first time in our current market year that corn had consecutive weeks above 1.0 mln tonnes of inspections.  Soybeans were mid-range at 240k tonnes.

rainfall.png

Read More News

Sep 12, 2025
USDA report day.  Corn and beans were trading higher pre-report on thoughts of a reduction to yields.  Well....we got what we were thinking but the USDA decided to throw a twist into the mix.  The 25/26 corn yield decreased slightly less than expected by 2.1 bu to 186.7 bpa, but they gave us the largest planted acreage shift on this report in at least the last 20 years (+1.4 mil acres) spurred an increase in production to 16,814 mbu.  25/26 ending stocks were slightly lowered by 7 mbu to 2,110 mbu. 
Aug 21, 2025
Today the market ran higher on rumors for positive SRE announcements coming soon.  Bean oil was up over $2.  Beans finished the day up 20 cents at 10.56 Nov futures.  There is a chance we could make a run at the 10.74 Nov highs from back in June.  If we get there, I am a seller.  Bean basis remains in the garbage, so a run higher in futures doesn't help that either.  We still don't have a trade deal, so I think any rally is short lived at this time. 
Aug 15, 2025
Corn and beans both had nice gains heading into the weekend.  Corn might seem terrible as of late, but for corn to only be down 2 cents since report day is impressive.  That was one of the most bearish reports for corn we have seen in quite some time.  Corn finished the week 13 cents off its lows and unchanged for the week.  New crop corn basis has softened a little on the week as the extra 2 million acres and 8 bushels of yield from the report has also scared a few exporters off.