5/30/2023

May 30, 2023


After the long weekend, corn and soybeans were in steady, two-sided trade overnight and then selling flooded in shortly after the 8:30 am opening.  Trade was essentially all about weather.  Rains materialized over the weekend, bringing some relief to the areas of western Nebraska and southwest Minnesota.  Soybeans lead the pitfall today, trading as much as 43 cents down.  The July 23 soybean contract closed below the $13 handle for the first time since January 2022.  The recent rains also pressured wheat with the front-months finishing 25-35 cents lower.  Almost like flipping a switch, new crop corn contracts bounced off of their lows when the latest weather models were released.  U.S. export inspections were within expectations and on the upper end for corn with 1.313 mln tonnes shipped.  This is the first time in our current market year that corn had consecutive weeks above 1.0 mln tonnes of inspections.  Soybeans were mid-range at 240k tonnes.

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Aug 15, 2025
Corn and beans both had nice gains heading into the weekend.  Corn might seem terrible as of late, but for corn to only be down 2 cents since report day is impressive.  That was one of the most bearish reports for corn we have seen in quite some time.  Corn finished the week 13 cents off its lows and unchanged for the week.  New crop corn basis has softened a little on the week as the extra 2 million acres and 8 bushels of yield from the report has also scared a few exporters off. 
Aug 12, 2025
The USDA report today didn't treat the corn market very well.  Both corn acres and yield were higher the result has corn carryout over 2.1 billion bushels.  Corn yield was pegged at 188.8 bpa vs an estimate of 184.29 bpa.  How high is 188.8?  Well…the previous record was 179.3.  Planted corn acres were put at 97.3 million.  Total corn production is estimated at 16.742 billion bushels, which is 763 million more than the report estimates.
May 12, 2025
News broke Sunday that the USA and China have agreed to ease tensions and lower tariffs.  The US is lowering tariffs on Chinese goods from 145% to 30%.  China is lowering their import tariffs from 125% to 10%.  Talks will resume in the coming weeks.  This news had stocks, grains and oil higher overnight. Then of course we had a USDA grain report come out at 11:00 this morning.  That was also a bit friendly.