5/29/2024

May 29, 2024


Corn and soybeans down firmly for the second day in a row with a shift in the forecast that will likely provide an opportunity to clean up any acres that are left to plant in the eastern corn belt.  Also adding to the pressure in corn and beans was a weekly crop progress report showing some sizable leaps in planting completions which bring us ahead of the 5-year averages for this week.  Corn was reported at 83% planted, right in line with the trade estimate and up from 70% last week.  Soybean plantings came in at 68% complete, above the trade guess at 66% and up from 52% complete the previous week.  There are some various reports of re-plant happening and potential for some PP acres but nothing appears to be widespread or substantial at the moment.  We are also starting to see some year-over-year increases in Ukraine grain exports.  More grain available globally isn't helpful, especially after considering the U.S. export market is already suffering from a lack of demand and new crop sales have been slow to book.  We still expect to see one more good pop in the corn market over the next 30 days leading up to the planted acres report the end of June.

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Jun 11, 2026
The USDA report was noneventful and now we wait for the stocks and acres report on June 30th.  25/26 corn carryout was estimated at 2.145 billion vs an average guess of 2.138 billion.  26/27 corn carryout was estimated at 1.960 billion vs an average guess of 1.947 billion. 26/27 World corn carryout was estimated at 281.22 Million Tonnes vs an average guess of 278.51.  That is up 4 Million Tonnes from the May USDA report. 
May 12, 2026
Today was USDA report day.  Old crop corn carryout was pegged at 2.142 billion vs the average trade guess of 2.131 billion.  That is a 15 million bushel increase from the April report.  New crop 26/27 corn carryout was guessed at 1.957 billion vs an average trade guess of 1.933 billion.  The World old crop corn carryout was put at 296.95 million tonnes, vs an average trade guess of 296.33.
Feb 10, 2026
It was USDA report day today and it turned out to be a yawner.  The markets never really reacted to the report, and the grains finished the day about where they started with corn unchanged and beans up 12 on the day.  US corn carryout was pegged at 2.127 billion bushels vs the average trade guess of 2.227 billion.  World corn carryout was placed at 288.98 MMT vs the average trade guess of 290.48 MMT.