5/26/2021

May 26, 2021


5/26/2021
July corn finds some buying support around the 600 level early in the session to finish 4 higher.  December corn traded similar, with buying interest coming in around the 500 level, managing to squeeze out a nickel higher on the close.  Old crop beans were 7-8 lower and new crop months were virtually unchanged from yesterday.  Volatility was present today with corn seeing a 27-cent range and a 36-cent range in beans.  Corn trade perked up with rumors swirling of China having interest in US old crop corn but, with no bids on the PNW market, it will remain to be seen if there is any truth to it.  It genuinely feels like our market has turned from "buy the fact, sell the rumor" into "buy the rumor, sell the fact."  Remind yourself where our markets were at a year ago, how long it has taken to return to these price levels, and not to leave grain in the bin unpriced past the point the market shifts its focus to new crop.  Soybean demand continues its downtrend with end-users claiming they are very close to bridging the gap to the new crop period.  Demand for corn has slipped slightly but good margins for end-users will keep them hungry for bushels and help maintain some strength in basis.  We go from unseasonably warm to unseasonably cool in a matter of a couple days but the 90%+ chance for rain is worth it.

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Jun 11, 2026
The USDA report was noneventful and now we wait for the stocks and acres report on June 30th.  25/26 corn carryout was estimated at 2.145 billion vs an average guess of 2.138 billion.  26/27 corn carryout was estimated at 1.960 billion vs an average guess of 1.947 billion. 26/27 World corn carryout was estimated at 281.22 Million Tonnes vs an average guess of 278.51.  That is up 4 Million Tonnes from the May USDA report. 
May 12, 2026
Today was USDA report day.  Old crop corn carryout was pegged at 2.142 billion vs the average trade guess of 2.131 billion.  That is a 15 million bushel increase from the April report.  New crop 26/27 corn carryout was guessed at 1.957 billion vs an average trade guess of 1.933 billion.  The World old crop corn carryout was put at 296.95 million tonnes, vs an average trade guess of 296.33.
Feb 10, 2026
It was USDA report day today and it turned out to be a yawner.  The markets never really reacted to the report, and the grains finished the day about where they started with corn unchanged and beans up 12 on the day.  US corn carryout was pegged at 2.127 billion bushels vs the average trade guess of 2.227 billion.  World corn carryout was placed at 288.98 MMT vs the average trade guess of 290.48 MMT.