5/26/2021

May 26, 2021


5/26/2021
July corn finds some buying support around the 600 level early in the session to finish 4 higher.  December corn traded similar, with buying interest coming in around the 500 level, managing to squeeze out a nickel higher on the close.  Old crop beans were 7-8 lower and new crop months were virtually unchanged from yesterday.  Volatility was present today with corn seeing a 27-cent range and a 36-cent range in beans.  Corn trade perked up with rumors swirling of China having interest in US old crop corn but, with no bids on the PNW market, it will remain to be seen if there is any truth to it.  It genuinely feels like our market has turned from "buy the fact, sell the rumor" into "buy the rumor, sell the fact."  Remind yourself where our markets were at a year ago, how long it has taken to return to these price levels, and not to leave grain in the bin unpriced past the point the market shifts its focus to new crop.  Soybean demand continues its downtrend with end-users claiming they are very close to bridging the gap to the new crop period.  Demand for corn has slipped slightly but good margins for end-users will keep them hungry for bushels and help maintain some strength in basis.  We go from unseasonably warm to unseasonably cool in a matter of a couple days but the 90%+ chance for rain is worth it.

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Sep 12, 2025
USDA report day.  Corn and beans were trading higher pre-report on thoughts of a reduction to yields.  Well....we got what we were thinking but the USDA decided to throw a twist into the mix.  The 25/26 corn yield decreased slightly less than expected by 2.1 bu to 186.7 bpa, but they gave us the largest planted acreage shift on this report in at least the last 20 years (+1.4 mil acres) spurred an increase in production to 16,814 mbu.  25/26 ending stocks were slightly lowered by 7 mbu to 2,110 mbu. 
Aug 21, 2025
Today the market ran higher on rumors for positive SRE announcements coming soon.  Bean oil was up over $2.  Beans finished the day up 20 cents at 10.56 Nov futures.  There is a chance we could make a run at the 10.74 Nov highs from back in June.  If we get there, I am a seller.  Bean basis remains in the garbage, so a run higher in futures doesn't help that either.  We still don't have a trade deal, so I think any rally is short lived at this time. 
Aug 15, 2025
Corn and beans both had nice gains heading into the weekend.  Corn might seem terrible as of late, but for corn to only be down 2 cents since report day is impressive.  That was one of the most bearish reports for corn we have seen in quite some time.  Corn finished the week 13 cents off its lows and unchanged for the week.  New crop corn basis has softened a little on the week as the extra 2 million acres and 8 bushels of yield from the report has also scared a few exporters off.