5/25/2023

May 25, 2023


The bears and bulls struggled to maintain direction today.  Corn and soybeans traded some nice ranges away from either size of unchanged, giving most a chance at positioning no matter their bias.  There is finally a small buzz going around the market with some concern about moisture conditions.  Funds had recently flipped short but have worked themselves closer to a neutral position as we are now one day out from an extended weekend.  The market has built a slightly bullish sentiment based solely on weather as domestic and export demand for corn continues to dwindle away.  Weekly export sales were within expectations with net cancellations for corn (75k tonnes) and wheat (45k tonnes) and net sales of 115k tonnes of soybeans.  There was a nice bump in bean meal sales with last week's sale announcement to Poland.  Marketing year to date, corn sales are short of the pace needed to hit the USDA target by 132 million bushels versus 108 million last week.  Soybean sales are short by 100 million bushels versus 71 million last week.  Actual shipment pace for corn is short by 107 mln bushels and soybean shipments are 50 million bushels ahead but the gap is shrinking.

drought-monitor.png

Read More News

Feb 10, 2026
It was USDA report day today and it turned out to be a yawner.  The markets never really reacted to the report, and the grains finished the day about where they started with corn unchanged and beans up 12 on the day.  US corn carryout was pegged at 2.127 billion bushels vs the average trade guess of 2.227 billion.  World corn carryout was placed at 288.98 MMT vs the average trade guess of 290.48 MMT. 
Jan 12, 2026
Well, the USDA report had a bit of a surprise today and not in a good way.  Not only did they increase the 2025 corn yield, from 186.0 to 186.5, they also increased Harvest Acres from 90 million to 91.3 million.  That raised the total corn production to 17.021 billion, up an additional 269 million bushels from their previous estimate.  U.S. Ending Stocks are now estimated at 2.227 bbu, vs. 2.209 in Dec.  Report trade guesses were at 1.97 bbu.
Nov 14, 2025
It was USDA report day today and overall, it was bearish for both corn and beans.  Corn Yield was only reduced by .7 bpa down to 186 bpa.  The market was expecting closer to 184 bpa.  Corn production is estimated at 16.752 billion vs 16.814 billion in September.  They raised exports 100 million, which is debatable, but possible.  Ending stocks on corn were estimated at 2.154 billion bushels, which is up 44 million from September and about 29 million more than the market expected.