5/21/2021

May 21, 2021


5/21/2021
Markets were lower overnight and finish the week in the red quietly.  We started this morning with a fair amount of volatility but, by mid-day, trade was being conducted in an orderly fashion.  Corn and soybeans tried to trade higher for a portion of the day but it was short lived.  Demand for corn remains incredibly strong but, with some parts of the growing regions getting rain, our ability to rally remains limited.  More US corn production estimates showing large increases in acres over the USDA's planting intentions report is also hanging over the market, with one standout penciling in 96 million acres.  We may be establishing some range trade as we get closer to a new month, with the futures trying to catch a foot-hold at the price levels we were trading prior to May.  No USDA flash sale this morning.  Weekly closes: July corn 15'6 higher, Dec corn 3'6 higher, July beans 60 lower, Nov beans 40'2 lower.  Open interest in the front month continues to decline in both corn and soybeans.  China's new crop corn shopping spree may be more of a hedge against a possible crop failure in Brazil.  Continue to be diligent in your new crop marketings, smaller profit margins are still profit.  Some of the heat has been removed from the weekend forecast and we should return to average temps by the middle of next week.  Rain will be more than welcomed after temperatures in the upper-80's.  Have a great weekend!

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Jun 11, 2026
The USDA report was noneventful and now we wait for the stocks and acres report on June 30th.  25/26 corn carryout was estimated at 2.145 billion vs an average guess of 2.138 billion.  26/27 corn carryout was estimated at 1.960 billion vs an average guess of 1.947 billion. 26/27 World corn carryout was estimated at 281.22 Million Tonnes vs an average guess of 278.51.  That is up 4 Million Tonnes from the May USDA report. 
May 12, 2026
Today was USDA report day.  Old crop corn carryout was pegged at 2.142 billion vs the average trade guess of 2.131 billion.  That is a 15 million bushel increase from the April report.  New crop 26/27 corn carryout was guessed at 1.957 billion vs an average trade guess of 1.933 billion.  The World old crop corn carryout was put at 296.95 million tonnes, vs an average trade guess of 296.33.
Feb 10, 2026
It was USDA report day today and it turned out to be a yawner.  The markets never really reacted to the report, and the grains finished the day about where they started with corn unchanged and beans up 12 on the day.  US corn carryout was pegged at 2.127 billion bushels vs the average trade guess of 2.227 billion.  World corn carryout was placed at 288.98 MMT vs the average trade guess of 290.48 MMT.