5/21/2021

May 21, 2021


5/21/2021
Markets were lower overnight and finish the week in the red quietly.  We started this morning with a fair amount of volatility but, by mid-day, trade was being conducted in an orderly fashion.  Corn and soybeans tried to trade higher for a portion of the day but it was short lived.  Demand for corn remains incredibly strong but, with some parts of the growing regions getting rain, our ability to rally remains limited.  More US corn production estimates showing large increases in acres over the USDA's planting intentions report is also hanging over the market, with one standout penciling in 96 million acres.  We may be establishing some range trade as we get closer to a new month, with the futures trying to catch a foot-hold at the price levels we were trading prior to May.  No USDA flash sale this morning.  Weekly closes: July corn 15'6 higher, Dec corn 3'6 higher, July beans 60 lower, Nov beans 40'2 lower.  Open interest in the front month continues to decline in both corn and soybeans.  China's new crop corn shopping spree may be more of a hedge against a possible crop failure in Brazil.  Continue to be diligent in your new crop marketings, smaller profit margins are still profit.  Some of the heat has been removed from the weekend forecast and we should return to average temps by the middle of next week.  Rain will be more than welcomed after temperatures in the upper-80's.  Have a great weekend!

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Sep 12, 2025
USDA report day.  Corn and beans were trading higher pre-report on thoughts of a reduction to yields.  Well....we got what we were thinking but the USDA decided to throw a twist into the mix.  The 25/26 corn yield decreased slightly less than expected by 2.1 bu to 186.7 bpa, but they gave us the largest planted acreage shift on this report in at least the last 20 years (+1.4 mil acres) spurred an increase in production to 16,814 mbu.  25/26 ending stocks were slightly lowered by 7 mbu to 2,110 mbu. 
Aug 21, 2025
Today the market ran higher on rumors for positive SRE announcements coming soon.  Bean oil was up over $2.  Beans finished the day up 20 cents at 10.56 Nov futures.  There is a chance we could make a run at the 10.74 Nov highs from back in June.  If we get there, I am a seller.  Bean basis remains in the garbage, so a run higher in futures doesn't help that either.  We still don't have a trade deal, so I think any rally is short lived at this time. 
Aug 15, 2025
Corn and beans both had nice gains heading into the weekend.  Corn might seem terrible as of late, but for corn to only be down 2 cents since report day is impressive.  That was one of the most bearish reports for corn we have seen in quite some time.  Corn finished the week 13 cents off its lows and unchanged for the week.  New crop corn basis has softened a little on the week as the extra 2 million acres and 8 bushels of yield from the report has also scared a few exporters off.