5/20/2021

May 20, 2021


5/20/2021
Corn and soybeans were mostly higher overnight and for a majority of the day session.  Corn was able to keep part of its gains into the close, with new crop finishing 13 higher, but beans faded early in the final hour, closing 2-5 cents into the red.  It appears we have found some support levels in corn to work off of.  With the glut of the excess spec money liquidated out, we can now get back to keying direction off of fundamentals.  The demand outlook for corn continues to look positive with end-users posting good margins, numbers that are sure to improve with a 70 cent pull back in the futures.  USDA reported another flash sale of 1.224 mln tonnes of new crop corn to China this morning, adding another 48.1 mln bushels to their 21/22 marketing year total.  Soybeans continue to slip away from their highs with the July contract settling $1.34 below its contract high set back on May 12.  Soybean basis has been weakening in that same time frame but expect demand to pick up with the raw product becoming cheaper.  Weekly export sales were headlined by corn posting 4.062 mln tonnes of new crop sold.  Old crop corn had net sales of 278k tonnes and old crop beans offered some upside to the market with 84k tonnes sold.  Recent rain falls will keep the market on guard as some dry areas continue to pick up moisture.

Read More News

Oct 09, 2026
USDA Report Update:
Well, the USDA gave us an absolute shocker this morning and raised the corn yield up to 181.2 bpa vs 178.5 in September.  The average trade guess was lower at 177.7 bpa.  The carryout is now up to 1.849 billion bushels vs 1.567 in September.  They raised Exports up 25 million, Feed and residual up 50 million and Ethanol up 50 million.  Corn is currently down 28 cents on this news.  This is an absolute shocker to the corn market. 
Sep 11, 2026
It is USDA report day and it seemed like one of the most important reports we have had in a while.  The USDA placed corn yield at 178.5 bpa vs an average guess of 178.2.  They were in line with expectations and admitting we have an issue brewing.  This likely won’t be our lowest yield we see, but it at least drew a line in the sand for a starting point. 
Jul 10, 2026
USDA report day was slightly friendly to the grain markets.
Corn:
25/26 corn carryout was pegged at 2.020 billion bushels vs an average guess of 2.073 billion.  The main changes to this year’s balance sheet had feed and residual usage up 150 million bushels while they decreased ethanol by 25 million bushels.  Corn Yield for next year was estimated at 183 bushel per acre, which was about as expected.