5/17/2022

May 17, 2022


5/17/2022
Corn and soybeans were both down sharply to start last night.  The price action was definitely more technical than fundamental with the gap on the July soybean chart being filled and trade reversing higher.  Corn managed to trade higher briefly following the morning break but was held down in the red for close to the entirety of the day.  No new high in December corn today after setting fresh contract highs on Friday and Monday.  The weekly crop progress report was right on target with the trade averages for corn and soybeans.  Nationally, corn is viewed as 49% planted and soybeans 30% There were huge gains in the "I" states, highlighted by Iowa planting 43% of its corn and 27% of its soybeans last week.  Illinois saw 40% gain in corn plantings and 27% advancement in soybeans.  By the time we see these numbers, planters have been rolling for an additional 24 hours and there is that much more corn and soybeans in the ground.  It looks like mother nature may be giving us an opportunity over the next 7 days.  Most of the rain has vanished from the forecast for today and Thursday and we may finally have that window for field work we desperately need.  Weather models are calling for a warm, dry June which means potential is still there for a good crop this year.

outlook.jpg

Read More News

Feb 10, 2026
It was USDA report day today and it turned out to be a yawner.  The markets never really reacted to the report, and the grains finished the day about where they started with corn unchanged and beans up 12 on the day.  US corn carryout was pegged at 2.127 billion bushels vs the average trade guess of 2.227 billion.  World corn carryout was placed at 288.98 MMT vs the average trade guess of 290.48 MMT. 
Jan 12, 2026
Well, the USDA report had a bit of a surprise today and not in a good way.  Not only did they increase the 2025 corn yield, from 186.0 to 186.5, they also increased Harvest Acres from 90 million to 91.3 million.  That raised the total corn production to 17.021 billion, up an additional 269 million bushels from their previous estimate.  U.S. Ending Stocks are now estimated at 2.227 bbu, vs. 2.209 in Dec.  Report trade guesses were at 1.97 bbu.
Nov 14, 2025
It was USDA report day today and overall, it was bearish for both corn and beans.  Corn Yield was only reduced by .7 bpa down to 186 bpa.  The market was expecting closer to 184 bpa.  Corn production is estimated at 16.752 billion vs 16.814 billion in September.  They raised exports 100 million, which is debatable, but possible.  Ending stocks on corn were estimated at 2.154 billion bushels, which is up 44 million from September and about 29 million more than the market expected.