5/12/2023

May 12, 2023


A largely negative WASDE report. USDA lowered 22/23 corn exports by 75 million bushels, increasing corn ending stocks to 1.417 bln bu. A couple things that stick out on the 2023/24 corn balance sheet: A 375 million bushel increase in feed use and an average farm price forecasted at $4.80/bu. On the soybean side, a small 5 million bu. bump in imports to take our 22/23 ending stocks to 215 mln bushels. For the 23/24 soybean balance sheet, it was pretty much plug and play. Steady demand numbers with a large increase in ending stocks from a bigger crop.

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Jun 11, 2026
The USDA report was noneventful and now we wait for the stocks and acres report on June 30th.  25/26 corn carryout was estimated at 2.145 billion vs an average guess of 2.138 billion.  26/27 corn carryout was estimated at 1.960 billion vs an average guess of 1.947 billion. 26/27 World corn carryout was estimated at 281.22 Million Tonnes vs an average guess of 278.51.  That is up 4 Million Tonnes from the May USDA report. 
May 12, 2026
Today was USDA report day.  Old crop corn carryout was pegged at 2.142 billion vs the average trade guess of 2.131 billion.  That is a 15 million bushel increase from the April report.  New crop 26/27 corn carryout was guessed at 1.957 billion vs an average trade guess of 1.933 billion.  The World old crop corn carryout was put at 296.95 million tonnes, vs an average trade guess of 296.33.
Feb 10, 2026
It was USDA report day today and it turned out to be a yawner.  The markets never really reacted to the report, and the grains finished the day about where they started with corn unchanged and beans up 12 on the day.  US corn carryout was pegged at 2.127 billion bushels vs the average trade guess of 2.227 billion.  World corn carryout was placed at 288.98 MMT vs the average trade guess of 290.48 MMT.