5/10/2023

May 10, 2023


After a largely negative day on Tuesday, corn rebounded with the July contract trading up to 12 cents higher and ending the day up 9.  Yesterday's downward spiral was fueled by another China cancellation and some very good planting pace numbers from the USDA.  This cancellation was for 272,000 tonnes, or about 10.7 million bushels, but corn found footing today as it was rumored China was putting back on some of these cancelled sales.  It appears the bulk of the corn crop will be planted and in the rearview mirror by the end of the week with some already switching to soybeans.  Weekly ethanol data showed a fall in production of 11,000 barrels/day to 965,000 bpd.  Stocks dropped 72,000 barrels to 23.29 million bbls.  Corn use for ethanol is at an estimated total 3.467 billion bushels, down 173 million bushels from this time last year.  The ethanol grind is also behind the pace needed to meet the USDA demand number by 32 million bushels.
 

Read More News

Sep 12, 2025
USDA report day.  Corn and beans were trading higher pre-report on thoughts of a reduction to yields.  Well....we got what we were thinking but the USDA decided to throw a twist into the mix.  The 25/26 corn yield decreased slightly less than expected by 2.1 bu to 186.7 bpa, but they gave us the largest planted acreage shift on this report in at least the last 20 years (+1.4 mil acres) spurred an increase in production to 16,814 mbu.  25/26 ending stocks were slightly lowered by 7 mbu to 2,110 mbu. 
Aug 21, 2025
Today the market ran higher on rumors for positive SRE announcements coming soon.  Bean oil was up over $2.  Beans finished the day up 20 cents at 10.56 Nov futures.  There is a chance we could make a run at the 10.74 Nov highs from back in June.  If we get there, I am a seller.  Bean basis remains in the garbage, so a run higher in futures doesn't help that either.  We still don't have a trade deal, so I think any rally is short lived at this time. 
Aug 15, 2025
Corn and beans both had nice gains heading into the weekend.  Corn might seem terrible as of late, but for corn to only be down 2 cents since report day is impressive.  That was one of the most bearish reports for corn we have seen in quite some time.  Corn finished the week 13 cents off its lows and unchanged for the week.  New crop corn basis has softened a little on the week as the extra 2 million acres and 8 bushels of yield from the report has also scared a few exporters off.