4/8/2024

Apr 08, 2024


It took until the close at 1:20 but the paint was finally dry on today's session. There were some short spurts of volatility but corn and soybeans were mostly locked inside of 3-4 cent ranges throughout the day. Corn finished unchanged to 1 higher and soybeans ended Monday down 1-3 cents. Unless we get a major headline ahead of Thursday's report, expect more of the same leading up to 11:00am on Thursday. Trade is looking for the USDA to make another round of cuts to South American production. Weekly export inspections were strong for corn and beat the trade expectations with 1.42 mln tonnes shipped last week. Soybean shipments were okay with 484k tonnes shipped. The USDA also revised the previous week's report and increased inspection volumes for corn and soybeans.

Some nice general moisture over the weekend will moistly put to rest the "early planting" story the bears had been pitching for a while. Looks like the market will have a normal planting window to price in.

Read More News

Feb 10, 2026
It was USDA report day today and it turned out to be a yawner.  The markets never really reacted to the report, and the grains finished the day about where they started with corn unchanged and beans up 12 on the day.  US corn carryout was pegged at 2.127 billion bushels vs the average trade guess of 2.227 billion.  World corn carryout was placed at 288.98 MMT vs the average trade guess of 290.48 MMT. 
Jan 12, 2026
Well, the USDA report had a bit of a surprise today and not in a good way.  Not only did they increase the 2025 corn yield, from 186.0 to 186.5, they also increased Harvest Acres from 90 million to 91.3 million.  That raised the total corn production to 17.021 billion, up an additional 269 million bushels from their previous estimate.  U.S. Ending Stocks are now estimated at 2.227 bbu, vs. 2.209 in Dec.  Report trade guesses were at 1.97 bbu.
Nov 14, 2025
It was USDA report day today and overall, it was bearish for both corn and beans.  Corn Yield was only reduced by .7 bpa down to 186 bpa.  The market was expecting closer to 184 bpa.  Corn production is estimated at 16.752 billion vs 16.814 billion in September.  They raised exports 100 million, which is debatable, but possible.  Ending stocks on corn were estimated at 2.154 billion bushels, which is up 44 million from September and about 29 million more than the market expected.