4/6/2023

Apr 06, 2023


It was risk-off into the holiday weekend with trade reacting to multiple signals.  A combination of an improved forecast, short-term profit taking, potential tension escalation between the U.S./Taiwan/China, and active farmer selling out of South America.  Corn and soybeans spreads working off of the May contracts were volatile again today.  The May:July soybean spread has traded over a 12 cent range over the past two days!  Net export sales were above average for corn for the week at 1.247 mln tonnes sold.  Soybean sales underperformed at 155k tonnes.  On the plus side, this week's downturn in the futures already have rumors swirling of some fresh old crop export business.  It looks like the market has done its job over the past 4 weeks and found a number that interests corn buyers.  Reminder: The markets are closed tomorrow in observance of Good Friday.  Glacial Plains offices will also be closed.

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Feb 10, 2026
It was USDA report day today and it turned out to be a yawner.  The markets never really reacted to the report, and the grains finished the day about where they started with corn unchanged and beans up 12 on the day.  US corn carryout was pegged at 2.127 billion bushels vs the average trade guess of 2.227 billion.  World corn carryout was placed at 288.98 MMT vs the average trade guess of 290.48 MMT. 
Jan 12, 2026
Well, the USDA report had a bit of a surprise today and not in a good way.  Not only did they increase the 2025 corn yield, from 186.0 to 186.5, they also increased Harvest Acres from 90 million to 91.3 million.  That raised the total corn production to 17.021 billion, up an additional 269 million bushels from their previous estimate.  U.S. Ending Stocks are now estimated at 2.227 bbu, vs. 2.209 in Dec.  Report trade guesses were at 1.97 bbu.
Nov 14, 2025
It was USDA report day today and overall, it was bearish for both corn and beans.  Corn Yield was only reduced by .7 bpa down to 186 bpa.  The market was expecting closer to 184 bpa.  Corn production is estimated at 16.752 billion vs 16.814 billion in September.  They raised exports 100 million, which is debatable, but possible.  Ending stocks on corn were estimated at 2.154 billion bushels, which is up 44 million from September and about 29 million more than the market expected.