4/6/2021

Apr 06, 2021


4/6/2021
A bit of a replay from yesterday with corn mixed and beans higher in quiet fashion for the second consecutive day. Yesterday, the USDA released their first weekly crop progress report for the 2021 year and the early season reports typically don't give trade a whole lot to work with. Corn planting in the US was seen at 2% complete, matching the yearly average for this time. Spring Wheat is estimated at 3% complete, slightly ahead of the 2% yearly average. The Winter Wheat condition was the number trade was most looking forward to after the cold snap in mid-February sent wheat futures surging on speculation the wheat crop suffered significant damage. Winter wheat was seen at 53% good-to-excellent, a 7% increase from November's rating, and 4% headed, slightly ahead of the 3% yearly average. We are starting to see market analyst estimates for Friday's WASDE report, with most expecting to see a 100 million bushel or larger cut in the corn carryout number which currently sits at 1.5 billion bushels. Analysts also expect a 2-5 million bushel decrease in the soybean carryout number. If looking to price grain this week, implement sell orders as an attempt capture part of the possible high price spikes we see before and after report releases.

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Jun 11, 2026
The USDA report was noneventful and now we wait for the stocks and acres report on June 30th.  25/26 corn carryout was estimated at 2.145 billion vs an average guess of 2.138 billion.  26/27 corn carryout was estimated at 1.960 billion vs an average guess of 1.947 billion. 26/27 World corn carryout was estimated at 281.22 Million Tonnes vs an average guess of 278.51.  That is up 4 Million Tonnes from the May USDA report. 
May 12, 2026
Today was USDA report day.  Old crop corn carryout was pegged at 2.142 billion vs the average trade guess of 2.131 billion.  That is a 15 million bushel increase from the April report.  New crop 26/27 corn carryout was guessed at 1.957 billion vs an average trade guess of 1.933 billion.  The World old crop corn carryout was put at 296.95 million tonnes, vs an average trade guess of 296.33.
Feb 10, 2026
It was USDA report day today and it turned out to be a yawner.  The markets never really reacted to the report, and the grains finished the day about where they started with corn unchanged and beans up 12 on the day.  US corn carryout was pegged at 2.127 billion bushels vs the average trade guess of 2.227 billion.  World corn carryout was placed at 288.98 MMT vs the average trade guess of 290.48 MMT.