4/5/2022

Apr 05, 2022


4/5/2022
Corn and soybeans churn higher through both sessions.  The July 22 corn contract set a fresh contract high of 755'4 and Dec 22 corn contract set a contract high for the 4th consecutive trading day.  Today's close in corn appeared weak with old and new crop both giving up around 5 cents in the final 1/2 hour.  Big double-digit gains in soybean meal helped drive soybeans to their own double digit move higher on the day.  July soybeans have recovered 55 cents from their most recent low following the planting intentions report.  New crop values are at extremely attractive levels but we need to be patient and pace our sales.  $6.50 new crop corn orders filled overnight and new crop soybeans have climbed back to $14.00 delivered off of the combine.  With the market buzz combining China's unknown demand, a smaller number of US corn acres, Ukraine/Russia showing no signs of stopping, and what appears to be a cool and wet start to spring, we have the real possibility at a shot of locking in $7.00 new crop corn.  We likely get another try at $15.00 new crop soybeans, as well.  Soybean futures have never set their highs this early in the year and are sure to play follower to the strength in corn.  Continue to work sell orders with wide ranges between prices to allow yourself the opportunity to adjust them in this highly volatile market.
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Feb 10, 2026
It was USDA report day today and it turned out to be a yawner.  The markets never really reacted to the report, and the grains finished the day about where they started with corn unchanged and beans up 12 on the day.  US corn carryout was pegged at 2.127 billion bushels vs the average trade guess of 2.227 billion.  World corn carryout was placed at 288.98 MMT vs the average trade guess of 290.48 MMT. 
Jan 12, 2026
Well, the USDA report had a bit of a surprise today and not in a good way.  Not only did they increase the 2025 corn yield, from 186.0 to 186.5, they also increased Harvest Acres from 90 million to 91.3 million.  That raised the total corn production to 17.021 billion, up an additional 269 million bushels from their previous estimate.  U.S. Ending Stocks are now estimated at 2.227 bbu, vs. 2.209 in Dec.  Report trade guesses were at 1.97 bbu.
Nov 14, 2025
It was USDA report day today and overall, it was bearish for both corn and beans.  Corn Yield was only reduced by .7 bpa down to 186 bpa.  The market was expecting closer to 184 bpa.  Corn production is estimated at 16.752 billion vs 16.814 billion in September.  They raised exports 100 million, which is debatable, but possible.  Ending stocks on corn were estimated at 2.154 billion bushels, which is up 44 million from September and about 29 million more than the market expected.