4/5/2022

Apr 05, 2022


4/5/2022
Corn and soybeans churn higher through both sessions.  The July 22 corn contract set a fresh contract high of 755'4 and Dec 22 corn contract set a contract high for the 4th consecutive trading day.  Today's close in corn appeared weak with old and new crop both giving up around 5 cents in the final 1/2 hour.  Big double-digit gains in soybean meal helped drive soybeans to their own double digit move higher on the day.  July soybeans have recovered 55 cents from their most recent low following the planting intentions report.  New crop values are at extremely attractive levels but we need to be patient and pace our sales.  $6.50 new crop corn orders filled overnight and new crop soybeans have climbed back to $14.00 delivered off of the combine.  With the market buzz combining China's unknown demand, a smaller number of US corn acres, Ukraine/Russia showing no signs of stopping, and what appears to be a cool and wet start to spring, we have the real possibility at a shot of locking in $7.00 new crop corn.  We likely get another try at $15.00 new crop soybeans, as well.  Soybean futures have never set their highs this early in the year and are sure to play follower to the strength in corn.  Continue to work sell orders with wide ranges between prices to allow yourself the opportunity to adjust them in this highly volatile market.
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Sep 12, 2025
USDA report day.  Corn and beans were trading higher pre-report on thoughts of a reduction to yields.  Well....we got what we were thinking but the USDA decided to throw a twist into the mix.  The 25/26 corn yield decreased slightly less than expected by 2.1 bu to 186.7 bpa, but they gave us the largest planted acreage shift on this report in at least the last 20 years (+1.4 mil acres) spurred an increase in production to 16,814 mbu.  25/26 ending stocks were slightly lowered by 7 mbu to 2,110 mbu. 
Aug 21, 2025
Today the market ran higher on rumors for positive SRE announcements coming soon.  Bean oil was up over $2.  Beans finished the day up 20 cents at 10.56 Nov futures.  There is a chance we could make a run at the 10.74 Nov highs from back in June.  If we get there, I am a seller.  Bean basis remains in the garbage, so a run higher in futures doesn't help that either.  We still don't have a trade deal, so I think any rally is short lived at this time. 
Aug 15, 2025
Corn and beans both had nice gains heading into the weekend.  Corn might seem terrible as of late, but for corn to only be down 2 cents since report day is impressive.  That was one of the most bearish reports for corn we have seen in quite some time.  Corn finished the week 13 cents off its lows and unchanged for the week.  New crop corn basis has softened a little on the week as the extra 2 million acres and 8 bushels of yield from the report has also scared a few exporters off.