4/4/2024

Apr 04, 2024


Thursday's session was a long, slow grind for corn, soybeans, and wheat.  Corn bounced around, ranging from 2 lower to 3 higher throughout the day.  Soybeans were steady on the higher side throughout the overnight and traded out to 4 cents higher but were immediately sold off at the 8:30 re-opening where they spent most of the remainder of the session.  A late push found a 1-3 cent higher finish for corn and a mixed finish for soybeans.  Mexico continues to add purchases of U.S. grain for the current marketing year.  This morning, the USDA confirmed the sale of 152,404 tonnes of soybeans for delivery to Mexico during the 2023/24 marketing year.  The weekly export sales report did not give us much to work with to push us higher.  Corn was within expectations but on the low-end at 948k tonnes sold last week.  Soybean sales were a miss at 194k tonnes.  The combination of slowing sales and shipments for soybean exports means we will need the crush side to continue to take as many bushels as they can handle to meet the current USDA ending stocks that are forecasted.  A concern with South American production would also be a benefit.  

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Aug 15, 2025
Corn and beans both had nice gains heading into the weekend.  Corn might seem terrible as of late, but for corn to only be down 2 cents since report day is impressive.  That was one of the most bearish reports for corn we have seen in quite some time.  Corn finished the week 13 cents off its lows and unchanged for the week.  New crop corn basis has softened a little on the week as the extra 2 million acres and 8 bushels of yield from the report has also scared a few exporters off. 
Aug 12, 2025
The USDA report today didn't treat the corn market very well.  Both corn acres and yield were higher the result has corn carryout over 2.1 billion bushels.  Corn yield was pegged at 188.8 bpa vs an estimate of 184.29 bpa.  How high is 188.8?  Well…the previous record was 179.3.  Planted corn acres were put at 97.3 million.  Total corn production is estimated at 16.742 billion bushels, which is 763 million more than the report estimates.
May 12, 2025
News broke Sunday that the USA and China have agreed to ease tensions and lower tariffs.  The US is lowering tariffs on Chinese goods from 145% to 30%.  China is lowering their import tariffs from 125% to 10%.  Talks will resume in the coming weeks.  This news had stocks, grains and oil higher overnight. Then of course we had a USDA grain report come out at 11:00 this morning.  That was also a bit friendly.