4/28/2023

Apr 28, 2023


After seven days of hemorrhaging that resulted in the funds flipping short, a fresh 15 month low, and a total range of 75 cents traded, July corn appears to have finally stopped the bleeding. Corn reversed higher near the mid-day point of the session on Friday and traded steady 2-3 cents higher. Wheat was the first to lead the charge up the hill, followed by soybeans, then corn. The July soybean chart has a much friendlier look to it with today's reversal higher, trading outside of yesterday's range and finishing the day 15 cents higher in strong fashion. Overall, an excellent recovery today to end the week (and the month) and will provide a more optimistic perspective going into May. Other than some corrective technical trade, there was no fresh news or reports to move the market today. We are confident there will be chances to capture cash values of $6.25 corn and $14.25 soybeans in the near future.

Going into May slightly drier than we did in 2022. Will need to monitor this close, funds like to trade headlines and that gives us marketing opportunities throughout the growing season.
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Sep 12, 2025
USDA report day.  Corn and beans were trading higher pre-report on thoughts of a reduction to yields.  Well....we got what we were thinking but the USDA decided to throw a twist into the mix.  The 25/26 corn yield decreased slightly less than expected by 2.1 bu to 186.7 bpa, but they gave us the largest planted acreage shift on this report in at least the last 20 years (+1.4 mil acres) spurred an increase in production to 16,814 mbu.  25/26 ending stocks were slightly lowered by 7 mbu to 2,110 mbu. 
Aug 21, 2025
Today the market ran higher on rumors for positive SRE announcements coming soon.  Bean oil was up over $2.  Beans finished the day up 20 cents at 10.56 Nov futures.  There is a chance we could make a run at the 10.74 Nov highs from back in June.  If we get there, I am a seller.  Bean basis remains in the garbage, so a run higher in futures doesn't help that either.  We still don't have a trade deal, so I think any rally is short lived at this time. 
Aug 15, 2025
Corn and beans both had nice gains heading into the weekend.  Corn might seem terrible as of late, but for corn to only be down 2 cents since report day is impressive.  That was one of the most bearish reports for corn we have seen in quite some time.  Corn finished the week 13 cents off its lows and unchanged for the week.  New crop corn basis has softened a little on the week as the extra 2 million acres and 8 bushels of yield from the report has also scared a few exporters off.