4/28/2023

Apr 28, 2023


After seven days of hemorrhaging that resulted in the funds flipping short, a fresh 15 month low, and a total range of 75 cents traded, July corn appears to have finally stopped the bleeding. Corn reversed higher near the mid-day point of the session on Friday and traded steady 2-3 cents higher. Wheat was the first to lead the charge up the hill, followed by soybeans, then corn. The July soybean chart has a much friendlier look to it with today's reversal higher, trading outside of yesterday's range and finishing the day 15 cents higher in strong fashion. Overall, an excellent recovery today to end the week (and the month) and will provide a more optimistic perspective going into May. Other than some corrective technical trade, there was no fresh news or reports to move the market today. We are confident there will be chances to capture cash values of $6.25 corn and $14.25 soybeans in the near future.

Going into May slightly drier than we did in 2022. Will need to monitor this close, funds like to trade headlines and that gives us marketing opportunities throughout the growing season.
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Jun 11, 2026
The USDA report was noneventful and now we wait for the stocks and acres report on June 30th.  25/26 corn carryout was estimated at 2.145 billion vs an average guess of 2.138 billion.  26/27 corn carryout was estimated at 1.960 billion vs an average guess of 1.947 billion. 26/27 World corn carryout was estimated at 281.22 Million Tonnes vs an average guess of 278.51.  That is up 4 Million Tonnes from the May USDA report. 
May 12, 2026
Today was USDA report day.  Old crop corn carryout was pegged at 2.142 billion vs the average trade guess of 2.131 billion.  That is a 15 million bushel increase from the April report.  New crop 26/27 corn carryout was guessed at 1.957 billion vs an average trade guess of 1.933 billion.  The World old crop corn carryout was put at 296.95 million tonnes, vs an average trade guess of 296.33.
Feb 10, 2026
It was USDA report day today and it turned out to be a yawner.  The markets never really reacted to the report, and the grains finished the day about where they started with corn unchanged and beans up 12 on the day.  US corn carryout was pegged at 2.127 billion bushels vs the average trade guess of 2.227 billion.  World corn carryout was placed at 288.98 MMT vs the average trade guess of 290.48 MMT.