4/27/2022

Apr 27, 2022


4/27/2022
Corn and soybeans were lower overnight and immediately jumped higher at the 8:30 morning open. The rumor in Chicago was that China had made another significantly large purchase of U.S. corn. The corn planting pace in the U.S. remains minimal but pictures of planters rolling across fields are becoming an increasingly common sight on social media. The crop is going in regardless of conditions. Soy oil continues to set new all-time highs and drive soybeans back towards highs. The synthetic crush on the board has eclipsed the $2.00/bu mark. Weekly ethanol numbers showed output was up 16,000 barrels/day to 963k bpd and stocks were off 377,000 barrels to 23.97 million bbls. Production remains well below average and stocks remain well above average for this time of year. The USDA made no sale announcements this morning. Right now, it is very difficult to come up with a bearish scenario for grains which is when we need to be the most concerned about a bearish scenario.

New contract high on the July 22 corn.
corn-chart.jpg

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Jun 11, 2026
The USDA report was noneventful and now we wait for the stocks and acres report on June 30th.  25/26 corn carryout was estimated at 2.145 billion vs an average guess of 2.138 billion.  26/27 corn carryout was estimated at 1.960 billion vs an average guess of 1.947 billion. 26/27 World corn carryout was estimated at 281.22 Million Tonnes vs an average guess of 278.51.  That is up 4 Million Tonnes from the May USDA report. 
May 12, 2026
Today was USDA report day.  Old crop corn carryout was pegged at 2.142 billion vs the average trade guess of 2.131 billion.  That is a 15 million bushel increase from the April report.  New crop 26/27 corn carryout was guessed at 1.957 billion vs an average trade guess of 1.933 billion.  The World old crop corn carryout was put at 296.95 million tonnes, vs an average trade guess of 296.33.
Feb 10, 2026
It was USDA report day today and it turned out to be a yawner.  The markets never really reacted to the report, and the grains finished the day about where they started with corn unchanged and beans up 12 on the day.  US corn carryout was pegged at 2.127 billion bushels vs the average trade guess of 2.227 billion.  World corn carryout was placed at 288.98 MMT vs the average trade guess of 290.48 MMT.