4/26/2021

Apr 26, 2021


4/26/2021
Trade was strongly higher from the start Sunday night, with May, July, and December corn contracts gapping higher on the open.  November beans also gapped higher to open last night's session.  The front months for corn traded limit-up almost immediately after the 8:30 open this morning, then eased off only to be locked limit again later in the session.  Fundamentals remain mostly unchanged with the big driver behind today's huge market moves being mostly fund and spec money buying in huge.  The weekly export inspections added some fuel to the fire with corn inspections coming in at 1.951 mln tonnes, 250k tonnes above the top estimate.  Soybean inspections were reported at 234k tonnes and wheat inspections were 564k tonnes, both at the high end of expectations.  There was also a USDA flash sale this morning of 120k tonnes (4.4 mln bu.) of new crop soybeans to unknown.  This week's USDA crop progress report is expected show sizable increases in corn and bean plantings after improvement in weather.  7-Day weather outlook looks favorable for field work and planting pace is sure to pick up and put us ahead of average a week from now. 

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Sep 12, 2025
USDA report day.  Corn and beans were trading higher pre-report on thoughts of a reduction to yields.  Well....we got what we were thinking but the USDA decided to throw a twist into the mix.  The 25/26 corn yield decreased slightly less than expected by 2.1 bu to 186.7 bpa, but they gave us the largest planted acreage shift on this report in at least the last 20 years (+1.4 mil acres) spurred an increase in production to 16,814 mbu.  25/26 ending stocks were slightly lowered by 7 mbu to 2,110 mbu. 
Aug 21, 2025
Today the market ran higher on rumors for positive SRE announcements coming soon.  Bean oil was up over $2.  Beans finished the day up 20 cents at 10.56 Nov futures.  There is a chance we could make a run at the 10.74 Nov highs from back in June.  If we get there, I am a seller.  Bean basis remains in the garbage, so a run higher in futures doesn't help that either.  We still don't have a trade deal, so I think any rally is short lived at this time. 
Aug 15, 2025
Corn and beans both had nice gains heading into the weekend.  Corn might seem terrible as of late, but for corn to only be down 2 cents since report day is impressive.  That was one of the most bearish reports for corn we have seen in quite some time.  Corn finished the week 13 cents off its lows and unchanged for the week.  New crop corn basis has softened a little on the week as the extra 2 million acres and 8 bushels of yield from the report has also scared a few exporters off.