Grain > Commentary > 4-24-2024

4/24/2024

Apr 24, 2024

Profit taking was the feature of corn and soybean trade after corn rallied 20 cents and soybeans rallied 46 cents over the past week.  Spread correction was also seen today with May price spreads widening back out 1-2 cents.  Wheat continued on its march higher, picking up anywhere between another 9-15 cents.  For those with basis-fixed grain in the elevator, regardless if your plan is to roll it forward or price it, sooner may be better before Friday's deadline to squeeze the most out of the past week's market action.  Weekly ethanol report showed production down 29,000 barrels/day to 954k bpd and stocks off 400,000 barrels down to 25.7 million.  One of our recent price targets hit today when December corn traded up to 477'0 and the new crop orders that were placed for $4.25 were filled.

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9/12/2025
Sep 12, 2025
USDA report day.  Corn and beans were trading higher pre-report on thoughts of a reduction to yields.  Well....we got what we were thinking but the USDA decided to throw a twist into the mix.  The 25/26 corn yield decreased slightly less than expected by 2.1 bu to 186.7 bpa, but they gave us the largest planted acreage shift on this report in at least the last 20 years (+1.4 mil acres) spurred an increase in production to 16,814 mbu.  25/26 ending stocks were slightly lowered by 7 mbu to 2,110 mbu. 
8/21/2025
Aug 21, 2025
Today the market ran higher on rumors for positive SRE announcements coming soon.  Bean oil was up over $2.  Beans finished the day up 20 cents at 10.56 Nov futures.  There is a chance we could make a run at the 10.74 Nov highs from back in June.  If we get there, I am a seller.  Bean basis remains in the garbage, so a run higher in futures doesn't help that either.  We still don't have a trade deal, so I think any rally is short lived at this time. 
8/15/2025
Aug 15, 2025
Corn and beans both had nice gains heading into the weekend.  Corn might seem terrible as of late, but for corn to only be down 2 cents since report day is impressive.  That was one of the most bearish reports for corn we have seen in quite some time.  Corn finished the week 13 cents off its lows and unchanged for the week.  New crop corn basis has softened a little on the week as the extra 2 million acres and 8 bushels of yield from the report has also scared a few exporters off.