4/23/2024

Apr 23, 2024


After struggling a bit on the tail end of overnight trade, corn and soybeans traded steady higher and looked their most firm heading into today’s close. After chugging higher for a third consecutive day, we viewed some more technical signals on our front month contracts that indicate potential for a further rally exists. May corn traded a high for the month of April at 443'6, eclipsing our old high of 442'0 which traded on the first day of the month. May soybeans pushed above the March downtrend line and still have a little room overhead before meeting their 20-day moving average. Weekly crop progress estimated corn plantings at 12% complete which matched the trade average guess and last year's progress on this week. 12% could be considered largely average at this point of the season. Soybean plantings were estimated at 8% complete, which also matched this same week last year but was slightly above the trade guess of 7%.

Wheat has been the price leader and been a big factor in the bullish price action of corn and soybeans. As of today, Chicago wheat has rallied over 50 cents off of last Thursday’s low.

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Jun 11, 2026
The USDA report was noneventful and now we wait for the stocks and acres report on June 30th.  25/26 corn carryout was estimated at 2.145 billion vs an average guess of 2.138 billion.  26/27 corn carryout was estimated at 1.960 billion vs an average guess of 1.947 billion. 26/27 World corn carryout was estimated at 281.22 Million Tonnes vs an average guess of 278.51.  That is up 4 Million Tonnes from the May USDA report. 
May 12, 2026
Today was USDA report day.  Old crop corn carryout was pegged at 2.142 billion vs the average trade guess of 2.131 billion.  That is a 15 million bushel increase from the April report.  New crop 26/27 corn carryout was guessed at 1.957 billion vs an average trade guess of 1.933 billion.  The World old crop corn carryout was put at 296.95 million tonnes, vs an average trade guess of 296.33.
Feb 10, 2026
It was USDA report day today and it turned out to be a yawner.  The markets never really reacted to the report, and the grains finished the day about where they started with corn unchanged and beans up 12 on the day.  US corn carryout was pegged at 2.127 billion bushels vs the average trade guess of 2.227 billion.  World corn carryout was placed at 288.98 MMT vs the average trade guess of 290.48 MMT.