4/23/2021

Apr 23, 2021


4/23/2021
Beans higher and corn mixed after both spent the majority of today's sessions trading around a nickel lower following Thursday's big gains.  Buyers resurfaced in the last 20 minutes of trade to push old crop corn and the bean sector into the green to finish the week.  The weekly close on the July corn contract is 61'2 higher and July beans are 95'0 higher.  At midday today, funds were estimated to be long 560,000 contracts of corn and 219,000 contracts of soybeans.  Along with fund money buying, ethanol and soybean crush margins are well into the black, which should see continuing improvement in basis.  Trade is bulled up, expecting to see an increase in soybean crush and corn processing, which would result in another round of cuts to USDA carry-outs in corn and soybeans.  Sunday night will be the first session with new daily price limits with corn at 40 cents, soybeans at $1.00, and wheat at 45 cents.  With markets surging like they did this week, I wanted to take a look back at our local cash corn price from today's date back through 2016.  We finished today at $6.34 for corn in Murdock, up substantially from this same date one year ago at $2.69.  The April 23 average from 2016-2020 was $3.08.  Don't let the fear of missing out outweigh good business decisions.  Looks like Spring is FINALLY here next week, have a great weekend!
 

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Aug 15, 2025
Corn and beans both had nice gains heading into the weekend.  Corn might seem terrible as of late, but for corn to only be down 2 cents since report day is impressive.  That was one of the most bearish reports for corn we have seen in quite some time.  Corn finished the week 13 cents off its lows and unchanged for the week.  New crop corn basis has softened a little on the week as the extra 2 million acres and 8 bushels of yield from the report has also scared a few exporters off. 
Aug 12, 2025
The USDA report today didn't treat the corn market very well.  Both corn acres and yield were higher the result has corn carryout over 2.1 billion bushels.  Corn yield was pegged at 188.8 bpa vs an estimate of 184.29 bpa.  How high is 188.8?  Well…the previous record was 179.3.  Planted corn acres were put at 97.3 million.  Total corn production is estimated at 16.742 billion bushels, which is 763 million more than the report estimates.
May 12, 2025
News broke Sunday that the USA and China have agreed to ease tensions and lower tariffs.  The US is lowering tariffs on Chinese goods from 145% to 30%.  China is lowering their import tariffs from 125% to 10%.  Talks will resume in the coming weeks.  This news had stocks, grains and oil higher overnight. Then of course we had a USDA grain report come out at 11:00 this morning.  That was also a bit friendly.