4/23/2021

Apr 23, 2021


4/23/2021
Beans higher and corn mixed after both spent the majority of today's sessions trading around a nickel lower following Thursday's big gains.  Buyers resurfaced in the last 20 minutes of trade to push old crop corn and the bean sector into the green to finish the week.  The weekly close on the July corn contract is 61'2 higher and July beans are 95'0 higher.  At midday today, funds were estimated to be long 560,000 contracts of corn and 219,000 contracts of soybeans.  Along with fund money buying, ethanol and soybean crush margins are well into the black, which should see continuing improvement in basis.  Trade is bulled up, expecting to see an increase in soybean crush and corn processing, which would result in another round of cuts to USDA carry-outs in corn and soybeans.  Sunday night will be the first session with new daily price limits with corn at 40 cents, soybeans at $1.00, and wheat at 45 cents.  With markets surging like they did this week, I wanted to take a look back at our local cash corn price from today's date back through 2016.  We finished today at $6.34 for corn in Murdock, up substantially from this same date one year ago at $2.69.  The April 23 average from 2016-2020 was $3.08.  Don't let the fear of missing out outweigh good business decisions.  Looks like Spring is FINALLY here next week, have a great weekend!
 

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Jul 10, 2026
USDA report day was slightly friendly to the grain markets.
Corn:
25/26 corn carryout was pegged at 2.020 billion bushels vs an average guess of 2.073 billion.  The main changes to this year’s balance sheet had feed and residual usage up 150 million bushels while they decreased ethanol by 25 million bushels.  Corn Yield for next year was estimated at 183 bushel per acre, which was about as expected. 
Jun 11, 2026
The USDA report was noneventful and now we wait for the stocks and acres report on June 30th.  25/26 corn carryout was estimated at 2.145 billion vs an average guess of 2.138 billion.  26/27 corn carryout was estimated at 1.960 billion vs an average guess of 1.947 billion. 26/27 World corn carryout was estimated at 281.22 Million Tonnes vs an average guess of 278.51.  That is up 4 Million Tonnes from the May USDA report. 
May 12, 2026
Today was USDA report day.  Old crop corn carryout was pegged at 2.142 billion vs the average trade guess of 2.131 billion.  That is a 15 million bushel increase from the April report.  New crop 26/27 corn carryout was guessed at 1.957 billion vs an average trade guess of 1.933 billion.  The World old crop corn carryout was put at 296.95 million tonnes, vs an average trade guess of 296.33.