4/23/2021

Apr 23, 2021


4/23/2021
Beans higher and corn mixed after both spent the majority of today's sessions trading around a nickel lower following Thursday's big gains.  Buyers resurfaced in the last 20 minutes of trade to push old crop corn and the bean sector into the green to finish the week.  The weekly close on the July corn contract is 61'2 higher and July beans are 95'0 higher.  At midday today, funds were estimated to be long 560,000 contracts of corn and 219,000 contracts of soybeans.  Along with fund money buying, ethanol and soybean crush margins are well into the black, which should see continuing improvement in basis.  Trade is bulled up, expecting to see an increase in soybean crush and corn processing, which would result in another round of cuts to USDA carry-outs in corn and soybeans.  Sunday night will be the first session with new daily price limits with corn at 40 cents, soybeans at $1.00, and wheat at 45 cents.  With markets surging like they did this week, I wanted to take a look back at our local cash corn price from today's date back through 2016.  We finished today at $6.34 for corn in Murdock, up substantially from this same date one year ago at $2.69.  The April 23 average from 2016-2020 was $3.08.  Don't let the fear of missing out outweigh good business decisions.  Looks like Spring is FINALLY here next week, have a great weekend!
 

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Sep 12, 2025
USDA report day.  Corn and beans were trading higher pre-report on thoughts of a reduction to yields.  Well....we got what we were thinking but the USDA decided to throw a twist into the mix.  The 25/26 corn yield decreased slightly less than expected by 2.1 bu to 186.7 bpa, but they gave us the largest planted acreage shift on this report in at least the last 20 years (+1.4 mil acres) spurred an increase in production to 16,814 mbu.  25/26 ending stocks were slightly lowered by 7 mbu to 2,110 mbu. 
Aug 21, 2025
Today the market ran higher on rumors for positive SRE announcements coming soon.  Bean oil was up over $2.  Beans finished the day up 20 cents at 10.56 Nov futures.  There is a chance we could make a run at the 10.74 Nov highs from back in June.  If we get there, I am a seller.  Bean basis remains in the garbage, so a run higher in futures doesn't help that either.  We still don't have a trade deal, so I think any rally is short lived at this time. 
Aug 15, 2025
Corn and beans both had nice gains heading into the weekend.  Corn might seem terrible as of late, but for corn to only be down 2 cents since report day is impressive.  That was one of the most bearish reports for corn we have seen in quite some time.  Corn finished the week 13 cents off its lows and unchanged for the week.  New crop corn basis has softened a little on the week as the extra 2 million acres and 8 bushels of yield from the report has also scared a few exporters off.