4/21/2021

Apr 21, 2021


4/21/2021
Another big day on the board with numerous new contract highs.  Overnight was slightly lower but futures rallied quickly after the day session opened, with nearby corn adding 19 cents to close at 625'4.  This brings our 3-day total from trade this week to 36 higher on the May corn contract.  Soybeans closed higher for the seventh consecutive day, tacking on $1.13/bu to the May contract over that same period.  We also had our first test of the 1500 mark on the May soybean futures, trading within 1/4 of cent, at 1499'6.  Chinese officials have made it a point to announce that they will be shifting to feed rations that require less corn but this will increase demand for alternative feed grains and vegetable oils to balance those rations.  China also has a growing ethanol sector that will need corn.  Weather remains a big factor in US corn and soybean prices for both old and new crop.  Brazil's soybean harvest is coming to an end and we are still unsure the actual size of the crop, with estimates still coming in a large 180 mln bu range.  Weekly ethanol numbers showed steady production compared to the week prior, with 6.59 mln barrels produced.  Ethanol stocks were cut 71,000 barrels, creating the 9th consecutive week that inventories were reduced.

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Jun 11, 2026
The USDA report was noneventful and now we wait for the stocks and acres report on June 30th.  25/26 corn carryout was estimated at 2.145 billion vs an average guess of 2.138 billion.  26/27 corn carryout was estimated at 1.960 billion vs an average guess of 1.947 billion. 26/27 World corn carryout was estimated at 281.22 Million Tonnes vs an average guess of 278.51.  That is up 4 Million Tonnes from the May USDA report. 
May 12, 2026
Today was USDA report day.  Old crop corn carryout was pegged at 2.142 billion vs the average trade guess of 2.131 billion.  That is a 15 million bushel increase from the April report.  New crop 26/27 corn carryout was guessed at 1.957 billion vs an average trade guess of 1.933 billion.  The World old crop corn carryout was put at 296.95 million tonnes, vs an average trade guess of 296.33.
Feb 10, 2026
It was USDA report day today and it turned out to be a yawner.  The markets never really reacted to the report, and the grains finished the day about where they started with corn unchanged and beans up 12 on the day.  US corn carryout was pegged at 2.127 billion bushels vs the average trade guess of 2.227 billion.  World corn carryout was placed at 288.98 MMT vs the average trade guess of 290.48 MMT.