4/20/2021

Apr 20, 2021


4/20/2021
Corn and beans are now off the July futures.  Those of you with basis contracts left in the May need to be priced or rolled by mid next week.  Corn and beans rolled to new highs again today as both corn and beans remain well supported.  Farmer movement remains slow for now as we approach $6 cash corn and $14.50 cash beans.  Make sure you are taking advantage of these prices.  Can we go higher?  I think we can, but I would continue to scale up slowly on what you have left to price for old crop.  These are prices we don't want to miss out on.  Basis has improved drastically as movement is slow and the farmer hits the field, so that creates more opportunity.  It does not feel like we are stopping demand and slowing uses at these levels, so we continue to search for a price level that will.  Buckle in for a wild summer.  New crop movement has picked up some as we think about planting and see $4.80 cash corn and 12.35 cash beans for new crop bids.  It is a big discount to old crop, but is worth a look to lock in some margins.  Continue to scale up on sales and your average price should look good when this all shakes out.  
 

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Jul 10, 2026
USDA report day was slightly friendly to the grain markets.
Corn:
25/26 corn carryout was pegged at 2.020 billion bushels vs an average guess of 2.073 billion.  The main changes to this year’s balance sheet had feed and residual usage up 150 million bushels while they decreased ethanol by 25 million bushels.  Corn Yield for next year was estimated at 183 bushel per acre, which was about as expected. 
Jun 11, 2026
The USDA report was noneventful and now we wait for the stocks and acres report on June 30th.  25/26 corn carryout was estimated at 2.145 billion vs an average guess of 2.138 billion.  26/27 corn carryout was estimated at 1.960 billion vs an average guess of 1.947 billion. 26/27 World corn carryout was estimated at 281.22 Million Tonnes vs an average guess of 278.51.  That is up 4 Million Tonnes from the May USDA report. 
May 12, 2026
Today was USDA report day.  Old crop corn carryout was pegged at 2.142 billion vs the average trade guess of 2.131 billion.  That is a 15 million bushel increase from the April report.  New crop 26/27 corn carryout was guessed at 1.957 billion vs an average trade guess of 1.933 billion.  The World old crop corn carryout was put at 296.95 million tonnes, vs an average trade guess of 296.33.