Grain > Commentary > 4-18-2024

4/18/2024

Apr 18, 2024

Not much to get excited about today. Corn and soybeans traded higher for a very brief moment before weakness set in. Corn ends the day down 3-5 cents and soybeans lose 12-15 cents. The weekly export sales were just under mid-range for corn and soybeans with old crop sales netting out at 501k tonnes of corn and 486k tonnes of soybeans. The USDA made an export sale announcement this morning which confirmed 138,000 tonnes of soymeal for delivery to the Philippines during the 2023/24 marketing year.

Soybeans have taken a pretty good beating this week and are now within 20 cents of a major low on the front month chart.

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9/11/2026
Sep 11, 2026
It is USDA report day and it seemed like one of the most important reports we have had in a while.  The USDA placed corn yield at 178.5 bpa vs an average guess of 178.2.  They were in line with expectations and admitting we have an issue brewing.  This likely won’t be our lowest yield we see, but it at least drew a line in the sand for a starting point. 
7/10/2026
Jul 10, 2026
USDA report day was slightly friendly to the grain markets.
Corn:
25/26 corn carryout was pegged at 2.020 billion bushels vs an average guess of 2.073 billion.  The main changes to this year’s balance sheet had feed and residual usage up 150 million bushels while they decreased ethanol by 25 million bushels.  Corn Yield for next year was estimated at 183 bushel per acre, which was about as expected. 
6/11/2026
Jun 11, 2026
The USDA report was noneventful and now we wait for the stocks and acres report on June 30th.  25/26 corn carryout was estimated at 2.145 billion vs an average guess of 2.138 billion.  26/27 corn carryout was estimated at 1.960 billion vs an average guess of 1.947 billion. 26/27 World corn carryout was estimated at 281.22 Million Tonnes vs an average guess of 278.51.  That is up 4 Million Tonnes from the May USDA report.