4/18/2023

Apr 18, 2023


Corn had another strong day as July was higher for the third day in a row. It traded above the 100 day moving average, but failed to hold that 6.45 1/2 level.  If we can close above that level it opens the door to 6.70 July futures.  Today is the highest close since late February.  If you still have old crop corn left at home this is a good time, make another sale.  Then if we happen to trade 6.70 at any point, I would sell the rest.  There is no reason to hold corn into this inverse if we trade that kind of level.  New crop corn worked back over 5.70 futures today.  The 100 day is sitting above at 5.85 futures, which is my target for now. Beans also had a strong day as July traded 15.01 futures on the overnight.  We did close over the 100 day moving average on July beans today, so that opens the door to some higher levels.  15.25 and 15.41 are the next target on the July futures.  I don't think there are many beans left in the country, but if you are the rare few it might not hurt to put some orders in at $15.00 cash.  New crop bean futures traded 13.25 this morning.  The 100 day moving is sitting up around 13.60.  I would be working some $13 cash new crop orders.

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Sep 12, 2025
USDA report day.  Corn and beans were trading higher pre-report on thoughts of a reduction to yields.  Well....we got what we were thinking but the USDA decided to throw a twist into the mix.  The 25/26 corn yield decreased slightly less than expected by 2.1 bu to 186.7 bpa, but they gave us the largest planted acreage shift on this report in at least the last 20 years (+1.4 mil acres) spurred an increase in production to 16,814 mbu.  25/26 ending stocks were slightly lowered by 7 mbu to 2,110 mbu. 
Aug 21, 2025
Today the market ran higher on rumors for positive SRE announcements coming soon.  Bean oil was up over $2.  Beans finished the day up 20 cents at 10.56 Nov futures.  There is a chance we could make a run at the 10.74 Nov highs from back in June.  If we get there, I am a seller.  Bean basis remains in the garbage, so a run higher in futures doesn't help that either.  We still don't have a trade deal, so I think any rally is short lived at this time. 
Aug 15, 2025
Corn and beans both had nice gains heading into the weekend.  Corn might seem terrible as of late, but for corn to only be down 2 cents since report day is impressive.  That was one of the most bearish reports for corn we have seen in quite some time.  Corn finished the week 13 cents off its lows and unchanged for the week.  New crop corn basis has softened a little on the week as the extra 2 million acres and 8 bushels of yield from the report has also scared a few exporters off.