4/18/2022

Apr 18, 2022


4/18/2022
Most commodities were strongly higher to begin a new week following a 3-day break from the market.  Money had new energy today with cold temps and winter like weather persisting across the grain belt, keeping planters parked.  Also adding fuel to the fire was a fresh Russian offensive in Ukraine where it is now expected that 40% of the wheat will not be harvested and an estimated 36% of total corn production area is considered to be inside "dangerous" regions.  Weekly export inspections were within their estimated ranges last week with 1.139 mln tonnes of corn, 973k tonnes of soybeans, and 432k tonnes of wheat inspected for shipment last week.  Corn shipments are 12 million bushels behind the pace needed to reach the USDA target versus 9 million bushels short last week.  Soybean shipments are 44 million bushels behind the pace needed to reach the USDA target versus 68 million bushels the previous week.  Traders will look to see if corn planting advanced in this afternoon's progress report.  More seasonal weather looks to finally make an appearance for many areas during the back half of this week but it also looks like the warmer temps will spark some consistent rain fall at the same time.

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Jun 11, 2026
The USDA report was noneventful and now we wait for the stocks and acres report on June 30th.  25/26 corn carryout was estimated at 2.145 billion vs an average guess of 2.138 billion.  26/27 corn carryout was estimated at 1.960 billion vs an average guess of 1.947 billion. 26/27 World corn carryout was estimated at 281.22 Million Tonnes vs an average guess of 278.51.  That is up 4 Million Tonnes from the May USDA report. 
May 12, 2026
Today was USDA report day.  Old crop corn carryout was pegged at 2.142 billion vs the average trade guess of 2.131 billion.  That is a 15 million bushel increase from the April report.  New crop 26/27 corn carryout was guessed at 1.957 billion vs an average trade guess of 1.933 billion.  The World old crop corn carryout was put at 296.95 million tonnes, vs an average trade guess of 296.33.
Feb 10, 2026
It was USDA report day today and it turned out to be a yawner.  The markets never really reacted to the report, and the grains finished the day about where they started with corn unchanged and beans up 12 on the day.  US corn carryout was pegged at 2.127 billion bushels vs the average trade guess of 2.227 billion.  World corn carryout was placed at 288.98 MMT vs the average trade guess of 290.48 MMT.