4/18/2022

Apr 18, 2022


4/18/2022
Most commodities were strongly higher to begin a new week following a 3-day break from the market.  Money had new energy today with cold temps and winter like weather persisting across the grain belt, keeping planters parked.  Also adding fuel to the fire was a fresh Russian offensive in Ukraine where it is now expected that 40% of the wheat will not be harvested and an estimated 36% of total corn production area is considered to be inside "dangerous" regions.  Weekly export inspections were within their estimated ranges last week with 1.139 mln tonnes of corn, 973k tonnes of soybeans, and 432k tonnes of wheat inspected for shipment last week.  Corn shipments are 12 million bushels behind the pace needed to reach the USDA target versus 9 million bushels short last week.  Soybean shipments are 44 million bushels behind the pace needed to reach the USDA target versus 68 million bushels the previous week.  Traders will look to see if corn planting advanced in this afternoon's progress report.  More seasonal weather looks to finally make an appearance for many areas during the back half of this week but it also looks like the warmer temps will spark some consistent rain fall at the same time.

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May 12, 2026
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Feb 10, 2026
It was USDA report day today and it turned out to be a yawner.  The markets never really reacted to the report, and the grains finished the day about where they started with corn unchanged and beans up 12 on the day.  US corn carryout was pegged at 2.127 billion bushels vs the average trade guess of 2.227 billion.  World corn carryout was placed at 288.98 MMT vs the average trade guess of 290.48 MMT. 
Jan 12, 2026
Well, the USDA report had a bit of a surprise today and not in a good way.  Not only did they increase the 2025 corn yield, from 186.0 to 186.5, they also increased Harvest Acres from 90 million to 91.3 million.  That raised the total corn production to 17.021 billion, up an additional 269 million bushels from their previous estimate.  U.S. Ending Stocks are now estimated at 2.227 bbu, vs. 2.209 in Dec.  Report trade guesses were at 1.97 bbu.