4/17/2024

Apr 17, 2024


An uneventful week for corn and soybeans so far.  A large majority of the volatility has been isolated to the soy trade which today saw beans finish 1-5 higher, meal $3 higher, and some small gains in oil.  Corn traded less than a 4-cent range today, finishing 1-2 cents lower.  We are in the early part of the U.S. planting window and pace is average, so far.  A fresh shot of moisture across a good portion of the grain belt over the past few days will also encourage the funds to maintain their current position.  There is a bit of a buzz about conditions for the Brazil second crop.  The crop is currently a little thirsty and forecasts show that the hot and dry weather will persist for now.

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Aug 15, 2025
Corn and beans both had nice gains heading into the weekend.  Corn might seem terrible as of late, but for corn to only be down 2 cents since report day is impressive.  That was one of the most bearish reports for corn we have seen in quite some time.  Corn finished the week 13 cents off its lows and unchanged for the week.  New crop corn basis has softened a little on the week as the extra 2 million acres and 8 bushels of yield from the report has also scared a few exporters off. 
Aug 12, 2025
The USDA report today didn't treat the corn market very well.  Both corn acres and yield were higher the result has corn carryout over 2.1 billion bushels.  Corn yield was pegged at 188.8 bpa vs an estimate of 184.29 bpa.  How high is 188.8?  Well…the previous record was 179.3.  Planted corn acres were put at 97.3 million.  Total corn production is estimated at 16.742 billion bushels, which is 763 million more than the report estimates.
May 12, 2025
News broke Sunday that the USA and China have agreed to ease tensions and lower tariffs.  The US is lowering tariffs on Chinese goods from 145% to 30%.  China is lowering their import tariffs from 125% to 10%.  Talks will resume in the coming weeks.  This news had stocks, grains and oil higher overnight. Then of course we had a USDA grain report come out at 11:00 this morning.  That was also a bit friendly.