4/14/2023

Apr 14, 2023


Corn and wheat higher in strong fashion and soybeans down 5-13 cents to end the week.  With a lack of any fresh news to trade, managed money and speculator action was the name of the game on Friday.  The USDA gave us another 8 a.m. export sale announcement this morning and it was another sale to China split between the 2022/23 and 2023/24 marketing years.  246k metric tons of corn for delivery in 2022/23 and 136k metric tons of corn for delivery in the 2023/24 for a total of 382,000 metric tons.  That's a two-day total of approximately 27.9 million bushels.  The charts have a slightly bullish look to them with May corn closing above the major moving averages and soybeans setting up a potential bull flag pattern.  We still want to be careful getting overly bullish on old crop and feel the $6.50 cash corn and $14.50 cash soybeans are important numbers to grab when they're available.  Sell-orders are still important to implement as it is common for these values to be disappear as fast as they arrive.

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Sep 12, 2025
USDA report day.  Corn and beans were trading higher pre-report on thoughts of a reduction to yields.  Well....we got what we were thinking but the USDA decided to throw a twist into the mix.  The 25/26 corn yield decreased slightly less than expected by 2.1 bu to 186.7 bpa, but they gave us the largest planted acreage shift on this report in at least the last 20 years (+1.4 mil acres) spurred an increase in production to 16,814 mbu.  25/26 ending stocks were slightly lowered by 7 mbu to 2,110 mbu. 
Aug 21, 2025
Today the market ran higher on rumors for positive SRE announcements coming soon.  Bean oil was up over $2.  Beans finished the day up 20 cents at 10.56 Nov futures.  There is a chance we could make a run at the 10.74 Nov highs from back in June.  If we get there, I am a seller.  Bean basis remains in the garbage, so a run higher in futures doesn't help that either.  We still don't have a trade deal, so I think any rally is short lived at this time. 
Aug 15, 2025
Corn and beans both had nice gains heading into the weekend.  Corn might seem terrible as of late, but for corn to only be down 2 cents since report day is impressive.  That was one of the most bearish reports for corn we have seen in quite some time.  Corn finished the week 13 cents off its lows and unchanged for the week.  New crop corn basis has softened a little on the week as the extra 2 million acres and 8 bushels of yield from the report has also scared a few exporters off.