4/14/2023

Apr 14, 2023


Corn and wheat higher in strong fashion and soybeans down 5-13 cents to end the week.  With a lack of any fresh news to trade, managed money and speculator action was the name of the game on Friday.  The USDA gave us another 8 a.m. export sale announcement this morning and it was another sale to China split between the 2022/23 and 2023/24 marketing years.  246k metric tons of corn for delivery in 2022/23 and 136k metric tons of corn for delivery in the 2023/24 for a total of 382,000 metric tons.  That's a two-day total of approximately 27.9 million bushels.  The charts have a slightly bullish look to them with May corn closing above the major moving averages and soybeans setting up a potential bull flag pattern.  We still want to be careful getting overly bullish on old crop and feel the $6.50 cash corn and $14.50 cash soybeans are important numbers to grab when they're available.  Sell-orders are still important to implement as it is common for these values to be disappear as fast as they arrive.

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Jun 11, 2026
The USDA report was noneventful and now we wait for the stocks and acres report on June 30th.  25/26 corn carryout was estimated at 2.145 billion vs an average guess of 2.138 billion.  26/27 corn carryout was estimated at 1.960 billion vs an average guess of 1.947 billion. 26/27 World corn carryout was estimated at 281.22 Million Tonnes vs an average guess of 278.51.  That is up 4 Million Tonnes from the May USDA report. 
May 12, 2026
Today was USDA report day.  Old crop corn carryout was pegged at 2.142 billion vs the average trade guess of 2.131 billion.  That is a 15 million bushel increase from the April report.  New crop 26/27 corn carryout was guessed at 1.957 billion vs an average trade guess of 1.933 billion.  The World old crop corn carryout was put at 296.95 million tonnes, vs an average trade guess of 296.33.
Feb 10, 2026
It was USDA report day today and it turned out to be a yawner.  The markets never really reacted to the report, and the grains finished the day about where they started with corn unchanged and beans up 12 on the day.  US corn carryout was pegged at 2.127 billion bushels vs the average trade guess of 2.227 billion.  World corn carryout was placed at 288.98 MMT vs the average trade guess of 290.48 MMT.