4/14/2022

Apr 14, 2022


4/14/2022
Corn and soybeans both firmed higher overnight into the day session and finished the week mixed.  Near the mid-day point of the session, corn did a round trip from daily highs to daily lows, trading around 8-9 cents each way in the matter of roughly one hour, only to set fresh contract highs again after noon.  The USDA announced the sale of 132,000 tonnes of soybeans for delivery to China during the 2021/22 marketing year.  The weekly export sales report showed routine business with 1.333 mln tonnes of corn and 549k tonnes of soybeans sold last week.  Current sales for old crop corn and soybeans well exceed the paces needed to meet the USDA targets but there's no room for logistical errors or delays to get it all shipped.  30"+ of snow in parts of North Dakota and Montana surely won't help railroad performance.  The USDA is already issuing 2022/23 soy crop estimates for Brazil with initial figures set at 139 million tonnes on a 4.5-million-acre expansion.  Not too far off of where the set their initial total production estimate for this year's Brazil crop on much fewer acres.  The biggest headline to end our market week is the largest shipping company in the world, Maersk, has announced it will liquidate its Russian assets and completely leave the country.  Basically, this means there is currently no maritime logistics in Russia.
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Feb 10, 2026
It was USDA report day today and it turned out to be a yawner.  The markets never really reacted to the report, and the grains finished the day about where they started with corn unchanged and beans up 12 on the day.  US corn carryout was pegged at 2.127 billion bushels vs the average trade guess of 2.227 billion.  World corn carryout was placed at 288.98 MMT vs the average trade guess of 290.48 MMT. 
Jan 12, 2026
Well, the USDA report had a bit of a surprise today and not in a good way.  Not only did they increase the 2025 corn yield, from 186.0 to 186.5, they also increased Harvest Acres from 90 million to 91.3 million.  That raised the total corn production to 17.021 billion, up an additional 269 million bushels from their previous estimate.  U.S. Ending Stocks are now estimated at 2.227 bbu, vs. 2.209 in Dec.  Report trade guesses were at 1.97 bbu.
Nov 14, 2025
It was USDA report day today and overall, it was bearish for both corn and beans.  Corn Yield was only reduced by .7 bpa down to 186 bpa.  The market was expecting closer to 184 bpa.  Corn production is estimated at 16.752 billion vs 16.814 billion in September.  They raised exports 100 million, which is debatable, but possible.  Ending stocks on corn were estimated at 2.154 billion bushels, which is up 44 million from September and about 29 million more than the market expected.