4/14/2022

Apr 14, 2022


4/14/2022
Corn and soybeans both firmed higher overnight into the day session and finished the week mixed.  Near the mid-day point of the session, corn did a round trip from daily highs to daily lows, trading around 8-9 cents each way in the matter of roughly one hour, only to set fresh contract highs again after noon.  The USDA announced the sale of 132,000 tonnes of soybeans for delivery to China during the 2021/22 marketing year.  The weekly export sales report showed routine business with 1.333 mln tonnes of corn and 549k tonnes of soybeans sold last week.  Current sales for old crop corn and soybeans well exceed the paces needed to meet the USDA targets but there's no room for logistical errors or delays to get it all shipped.  30"+ of snow in parts of North Dakota and Montana surely won't help railroad performance.  The USDA is already issuing 2022/23 soy crop estimates for Brazil with initial figures set at 139 million tonnes on a 4.5-million-acre expansion.  Not too far off of where the set their initial total production estimate for this year's Brazil crop on much fewer acres.  The biggest headline to end our market week is the largest shipping company in the world, Maersk, has announced it will liquidate its Russian assets and completely leave the country.  Basically, this means there is currently no maritime logistics in Russia.
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Sep 12, 2025
USDA report day.  Corn and beans were trading higher pre-report on thoughts of a reduction to yields.  Well....we got what we were thinking but the USDA decided to throw a twist into the mix.  The 25/26 corn yield decreased slightly less than expected by 2.1 bu to 186.7 bpa, but they gave us the largest planted acreage shift on this report in at least the last 20 years (+1.4 mil acres) spurred an increase in production to 16,814 mbu.  25/26 ending stocks were slightly lowered by 7 mbu to 2,110 mbu. 
Aug 21, 2025
Today the market ran higher on rumors for positive SRE announcements coming soon.  Bean oil was up over $2.  Beans finished the day up 20 cents at 10.56 Nov futures.  There is a chance we could make a run at the 10.74 Nov highs from back in June.  If we get there, I am a seller.  Bean basis remains in the garbage, so a run higher in futures doesn't help that either.  We still don't have a trade deal, so I think any rally is short lived at this time. 
Aug 15, 2025
Corn and beans both had nice gains heading into the weekend.  Corn might seem terrible as of late, but for corn to only be down 2 cents since report day is impressive.  That was one of the most bearish reports for corn we have seen in quite some time.  Corn finished the week 13 cents off its lows and unchanged for the week.  New crop corn basis has softened a little on the week as the extra 2 million acres and 8 bushels of yield from the report has also scared a few exporters off.