4/14/2021

Apr 14, 2021


4/14/2021
Corn and beans both strongly higher as fresh buying interest surfaces in the corn trade, pulling beans up with it. Old and new crop corn spent most of the day continually setting new contract highs, with the May corn contract trading 2'2 cents away from the magical 600 level. Brazil enters its dry season; trouble may be brewing for the late planted Safrinha corn. A sizable portion of Brazil's second crop corn was planted outside of the ideal timeframe, missing the end of the rainy season which is vital to the crop. Soybean trade is expecting some friendly news in the March NOPA crush report tomorrow with analysts estimating 170.2 million bushels crushed in March. This would be the 6th largest month on record and a large jump up from the February numbers. There was also some chatter in the market today about a possible new crop bean export sale of decent size and we look forward to seeing confirmation on that. Weekly ethanol production was down 34,000 bpd and stocks also dropped 100k barrels to 20.5 million, margins were seen as 2 cents better this week. It is unfortunate that Mother Nature felt the need to remind us who is in charge as this spring had the makings to be one for the record books. The crop always gets planted.

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Jun 11, 2026
The USDA report was noneventful and now we wait for the stocks and acres report on June 30th.  25/26 corn carryout was estimated at 2.145 billion vs an average guess of 2.138 billion.  26/27 corn carryout was estimated at 1.960 billion vs an average guess of 1.947 billion. 26/27 World corn carryout was estimated at 281.22 Million Tonnes vs an average guess of 278.51.  That is up 4 Million Tonnes from the May USDA report. 
May 12, 2026
Today was USDA report day.  Old crop corn carryout was pegged at 2.142 billion vs the average trade guess of 2.131 billion.  That is a 15 million bushel increase from the April report.  New crop 26/27 corn carryout was guessed at 1.957 billion vs an average trade guess of 1.933 billion.  The World old crop corn carryout was put at 296.95 million tonnes, vs an average trade guess of 296.33.
Feb 10, 2026
It was USDA report day today and it turned out to be a yawner.  The markets never really reacted to the report, and the grains finished the day about where they started with corn unchanged and beans up 12 on the day.  US corn carryout was pegged at 2.127 billion bushels vs the average trade guess of 2.227 billion.  World corn carryout was placed at 288.98 MMT vs the average trade guess of 290.48 MMT.