4/14/2021

Apr 14, 2021


4/14/2021
Corn and beans both strongly higher as fresh buying interest surfaces in the corn trade, pulling beans up with it. Old and new crop corn spent most of the day continually setting new contract highs, with the May corn contract trading 2'2 cents away from the magical 600 level. Brazil enters its dry season; trouble may be brewing for the late planted Safrinha corn. A sizable portion of Brazil's second crop corn was planted outside of the ideal timeframe, missing the end of the rainy season which is vital to the crop. Soybean trade is expecting some friendly news in the March NOPA crush report tomorrow with analysts estimating 170.2 million bushels crushed in March. This would be the 6th largest month on record and a large jump up from the February numbers. There was also some chatter in the market today about a possible new crop bean export sale of decent size and we look forward to seeing confirmation on that. Weekly ethanol production was down 34,000 bpd and stocks also dropped 100k barrels to 20.5 million, margins were seen as 2 cents better this week. It is unfortunate that Mother Nature felt the need to remind us who is in charge as this spring had the makings to be one for the record books. The crop always gets planted.

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Aug 15, 2025
Corn and beans both had nice gains heading into the weekend.  Corn might seem terrible as of late, but for corn to only be down 2 cents since report day is impressive.  That was one of the most bearish reports for corn we have seen in quite some time.  Corn finished the week 13 cents off its lows and unchanged for the week.  New crop corn basis has softened a little on the week as the extra 2 million acres and 8 bushels of yield from the report has also scared a few exporters off. 
Aug 12, 2025
The USDA report today didn't treat the corn market very well.  Both corn acres and yield were higher the result has corn carryout over 2.1 billion bushels.  Corn yield was pegged at 188.8 bpa vs an estimate of 184.29 bpa.  How high is 188.8?  Well…the previous record was 179.3.  Planted corn acres were put at 97.3 million.  Total corn production is estimated at 16.742 billion bushels, which is 763 million more than the report estimates.
May 12, 2025
News broke Sunday that the USA and China have agreed to ease tensions and lower tariffs.  The US is lowering tariffs on Chinese goods from 145% to 30%.  China is lowering their import tariffs from 125% to 10%.  Talks will resume in the coming weeks.  This news had stocks, grains and oil higher overnight. Then of course we had a USDA grain report come out at 11:00 this morning.  That was also a bit friendly.