4/13/2021

Apr 13, 2021


4/13/2021
Beans rebounded from yesterday's liquidation on the overnight trade and through the day session while corn was strongly higher after some mixed overnight trade.  After a large sell-off like yesterday's, you can expect to see markets bounce back higher the following day (Turnaround Tuesday!).  New crop corn established a new December 21 contract high of 505'6 shortly after the morning open and was able to hold most of its gains through the day.  Our second crop progress report for the season was released late yesterday afternoon with corn planting at 4% (6% trade estimate, 3% yearly average).  Spring wheat planting is seen ahead of average at 11 complete vs a 6% yearly average and is most likely due to dry conditions in large wheat seeding areas.  Winter wheat conditions are currently 53% good/excellent and 5% headed.  Planting soybeans ahead of corn has been a popular activity this year with farmers attempting to take advantage of the market inverse.  Basis has been strengthening daily for both corn and beans as end-users scramble to get coverage on an ever-shrinking supply.  Many are considering taking delivery on futures as a cheaper alternative to the cash market.
 

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Mar 31, 2025
USDA reported corn planting acres at 95.326 million acres of corn, which would be up a little more than 5% from 2024's final number and the second highest March figure of the last ten years behind only 2020's estimate of 96.99 mil acres.  US corn stocks as of March 1st were seen at 81.51 billion bushels, which was exactly what the trade had expected and was down just over 2% from March 1 of 2024.  USDA said farmers intended to plant 83.495 million acres of soybeans, which would be down about 4% from last year and was just a hair smaller than what the trade was looking for.  March 1 soybean stocks were pegged at 1.91 billion bu's, which again was nearly exactly as the trade had expected, and was up 3.5% compared to March 1, 2024.
Mar 11, 2025
The monthly USDA WASDE report was today and it was about as boring as it can get.  The USDA took the month off leaving corn and beans carryouts unchanged.  Corn remains at 1.540 billion bushels and beans at 380 million bushels.  World ending stocks were slightly lowered on both corn and beans.  World corn was pegged at 288.94 million tonnes vs 290.3 million tonnes previously.  World beans were pegged at 121.4 million tonnes vs 124.3 million tonnes previously.  All of the South American crop production estimates were also left unchanged.  
Aug 30, 2024
Corn picks up 10 cents and soybeans improve just over 25 cents on the week to go into the holiday weekend on a positive note.  Soybean export sales have picked up the pace in a big way.  At the end of last week, sales...