4/13/2021

Apr 13, 2021


4/13/2021
Beans rebounded from yesterday's liquidation on the overnight trade and through the day session while corn was strongly higher after some mixed overnight trade.  After a large sell-off like yesterday's, you can expect to see markets bounce back higher the following day (Turnaround Tuesday!).  New crop corn established a new December 21 contract high of 505'6 shortly after the morning open and was able to hold most of its gains through the day.  Our second crop progress report for the season was released late yesterday afternoon with corn planting at 4% (6% trade estimate, 3% yearly average).  Spring wheat planting is seen ahead of average at 11 complete vs a 6% yearly average and is most likely due to dry conditions in large wheat seeding areas.  Winter wheat conditions are currently 53% good/excellent and 5% headed.  Planting soybeans ahead of corn has been a popular activity this year with farmers attempting to take advantage of the market inverse.  Basis has been strengthening daily for both corn and beans as end-users scramble to get coverage on an ever-shrinking supply.  Many are considering taking delivery on futures as a cheaper alternative to the cash market.
 

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Jun 11, 2026
The USDA report was noneventful and now we wait for the stocks and acres report on June 30th.  25/26 corn carryout was estimated at 2.145 billion vs an average guess of 2.138 billion.  26/27 corn carryout was estimated at 1.960 billion vs an average guess of 1.947 billion. 26/27 World corn carryout was estimated at 281.22 Million Tonnes vs an average guess of 278.51.  That is up 4 Million Tonnes from the May USDA report. 
May 12, 2026
Today was USDA report day.  Old crop corn carryout was pegged at 2.142 billion vs the average trade guess of 2.131 billion.  That is a 15 million bushel increase from the April report.  New crop 26/27 corn carryout was guessed at 1.957 billion vs an average trade guess of 1.933 billion.  The World old crop corn carryout was put at 296.95 million tonnes, vs an average trade guess of 296.33.
Feb 10, 2026
It was USDA report day today and it turned out to be a yawner.  The markets never really reacted to the report, and the grains finished the day about where they started with corn unchanged and beans up 12 on the day.  US corn carryout was pegged at 2.127 billion bushels vs the average trade guess of 2.227 billion.  World corn carryout was placed at 288.98 MMT vs the average trade guess of 290.48 MMT.