4/12/2021

Apr 12, 2021


4/12/2021
No other way to explain trade today besides there was sellers and no buyers.  Corn was slightly higher and beans weaker overnight but a large liquidation at this morning's opening bell had beans trading around 25 cents lower at one point.  Corn was a victim of spill-over weakness.  We did bounce back off the lows but spent the majority of the time remaining in the session inside of a 3-cent range.  We had an 8am flash sale announcement of 132k tonnes of new crop beans to China and 110k tonnes of beans to Bangladesh.  Weekly export inspections were on target with 1.585 mln tonnes of corn, 328k tonnes of soybeans, and 458k tonnes of wheat.  The year-to-date total accumulations for inspections vs the USDA's total export forecasts sit at 55% for corn, 88% for beans, and 80% for wheat.  Fundamentals remain mostly friendly.  In our home area, we did see some oat and wheat acres covered, along with some sugar beet planting, before last week's rain.  Currently, the 7-day forecast does not show much opportunity for field work and we will need some sunshine and warmer temps before it is fit again.  We’re looking a bounce back in tomorrow’s markets, it’s not called "turn-around Tuesday" for no reason.

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Feb 10, 2026
It was USDA report day today and it turned out to be a yawner.  The markets never really reacted to the report, and the grains finished the day about where they started with corn unchanged and beans up 12 on the day.  US corn carryout was pegged at 2.127 billion bushels vs the average trade guess of 2.227 billion.  World corn carryout was placed at 288.98 MMT vs the average trade guess of 290.48 MMT. 
Jan 12, 2026
Well, the USDA report had a bit of a surprise today and not in a good way.  Not only did they increase the 2025 corn yield, from 186.0 to 186.5, they also increased Harvest Acres from 90 million to 91.3 million.  That raised the total corn production to 17.021 billion, up an additional 269 million bushels from their previous estimate.  U.S. Ending Stocks are now estimated at 2.227 bbu, vs. 2.209 in Dec.  Report trade guesses were at 1.97 bbu.
Nov 14, 2025
It was USDA report day today and overall, it was bearish for both corn and beans.  Corn Yield was only reduced by .7 bpa down to 186 bpa.  The market was expecting closer to 184 bpa.  Corn production is estimated at 16.752 billion vs 16.814 billion in September.  They raised exports 100 million, which is debatable, but possible.  Ending stocks on corn were estimated at 2.154 billion bushels, which is up 44 million from September and about 29 million more than the market expected.