Grain > Commentary > 4-12-2021

4/12/2021

Apr 12, 2021

4/12/2021
No other way to explain trade today besides there was sellers and no buyers.  Corn was slightly higher and beans weaker overnight but a large liquidation at this morning's opening bell had beans trading around 25 cents lower at one point.  Corn was a victim of spill-over weakness.  We did bounce back off the lows but spent the majority of the time remaining in the session inside of a 3-cent range.  We had an 8am flash sale announcement of 132k tonnes of new crop beans to China and 110k tonnes of beans to Bangladesh.  Weekly export inspections were on target with 1.585 mln tonnes of corn, 328k tonnes of soybeans, and 458k tonnes of wheat.  The year-to-date total accumulations for inspections vs the USDA's total export forecasts sit at 55% for corn, 88% for beans, and 80% for wheat.  Fundamentals remain mostly friendly.  In our home area, we did see some oat and wheat acres covered, along with some sugar beet planting, before last week's rain.  Currently, the 7-day forecast does not show much opportunity for field work and we will need some sunshine and warmer temps before it is fit again.  We’re looking a bounce back in tomorrow’s markets, it’s not called "turn-around Tuesday" for no reason.

Read More News

11/14/2025
Nov 14, 2025
It was USDA report day today and overall, it was bearish for both corn and beans.  Corn Yield was only reduced by .7 bpa down to 186 bpa.  The market was expecting closer to 184 bpa.  Corn production is estimated at 16.752 billion vs 16.814 billion in September.  They raised exports 100 million, which is debatable, but possible.  Ending stocks on corn were estimated at 2.154 billion bushels, which is up 44 million from September and about 29 million more than the market expected. 
9/12/2025
Sep 12, 2025
USDA report day.  Corn and beans were trading higher pre-report on thoughts of a reduction to yields.  Well....we got what we were thinking but the USDA decided to throw a twist into the mix.  The 25/26 corn yield decreased slightly less than expected by 2.1 bu to 186.7 bpa, but they gave us the largest planted acreage shift on this report in at least the last 20 years (+1.4 mil acres) spurred an increase in production to 16,814 mbu.  25/26 ending stocks were slightly lowered by 7 mbu to 2,110 mbu. 
8/21/2025
Aug 21, 2025
Today the market ran higher on rumors for positive SRE announcements coming soon.  Bean oil was up over $2.  Beans finished the day up 20 cents at 10.56 Nov futures.  There is a chance we could make a run at the 10.74 Nov highs from back in June.  If we get there, I am a seller.  Bean basis remains in the garbage, so a run higher in futures doesn't help that either.  We still don't have a trade deal, so I think any rally is short lived at this time.