4/12/2021

Apr 12, 2021


4/12/2021
No other way to explain trade today besides there was sellers and no buyers.  Corn was slightly higher and beans weaker overnight but a large liquidation at this morning's opening bell had beans trading around 25 cents lower at one point.  Corn was a victim of spill-over weakness.  We did bounce back off the lows but spent the majority of the time remaining in the session inside of a 3-cent range.  We had an 8am flash sale announcement of 132k tonnes of new crop beans to China and 110k tonnes of beans to Bangladesh.  Weekly export inspections were on target with 1.585 mln tonnes of corn, 328k tonnes of soybeans, and 458k tonnes of wheat.  The year-to-date total accumulations for inspections vs the USDA's total export forecasts sit at 55% for corn, 88% for beans, and 80% for wheat.  Fundamentals remain mostly friendly.  In our home area, we did see some oat and wheat acres covered, along with some sugar beet planting, before last week's rain.  Currently, the 7-day forecast does not show much opportunity for field work and we will need some sunshine and warmer temps before it is fit again.  We’re looking a bounce back in tomorrow’s markets, it’s not called "turn-around Tuesday" for no reason.

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Sep 12, 2025
USDA report day.  Corn and beans were trading higher pre-report on thoughts of a reduction to yields.  Well....we got what we were thinking but the USDA decided to throw a twist into the mix.  The 25/26 corn yield decreased slightly less than expected by 2.1 bu to 186.7 bpa, but they gave us the largest planted acreage shift on this report in at least the last 20 years (+1.4 mil acres) spurred an increase in production to 16,814 mbu.  25/26 ending stocks were slightly lowered by 7 mbu to 2,110 mbu. 
Aug 21, 2025
Today the market ran higher on rumors for positive SRE announcements coming soon.  Bean oil was up over $2.  Beans finished the day up 20 cents at 10.56 Nov futures.  There is a chance we could make a run at the 10.74 Nov highs from back in June.  If we get there, I am a seller.  Bean basis remains in the garbage, so a run higher in futures doesn't help that either.  We still don't have a trade deal, so I think any rally is short lived at this time. 
Aug 15, 2025
Corn and beans both had nice gains heading into the weekend.  Corn might seem terrible as of late, but for corn to only be down 2 cents since report day is impressive.  That was one of the most bearish reports for corn we have seen in quite some time.  Corn finished the week 13 cents off its lows and unchanged for the week.  New crop corn basis has softened a little on the week as the extra 2 million acres and 8 bushels of yield from the report has also scared a few exporters off.