4/12/2021

Apr 12, 2021


4/12/2021
No other way to explain trade today besides there was sellers and no buyers.  Corn was slightly higher and beans weaker overnight but a large liquidation at this morning's opening bell had beans trading around 25 cents lower at one point.  Corn was a victim of spill-over weakness.  We did bounce back off the lows but spent the majority of the time remaining in the session inside of a 3-cent range.  We had an 8am flash sale announcement of 132k tonnes of new crop beans to China and 110k tonnes of beans to Bangladesh.  Weekly export inspections were on target with 1.585 mln tonnes of corn, 328k tonnes of soybeans, and 458k tonnes of wheat.  The year-to-date total accumulations for inspections vs the USDA's total export forecasts sit at 55% for corn, 88% for beans, and 80% for wheat.  Fundamentals remain mostly friendly.  In our home area, we did see some oat and wheat acres covered, along with some sugar beet planting, before last week's rain.  Currently, the 7-day forecast does not show much opportunity for field work and we will need some sunshine and warmer temps before it is fit again.  We’re looking a bounce back in tomorrow’s markets, it’s not called "turn-around Tuesday" for no reason.

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Jul 10, 2026
USDA report day was slightly friendly to the grain markets.
Corn:
25/26 corn carryout was pegged at 2.020 billion bushels vs an average guess of 2.073 billion.  The main changes to this year’s balance sheet had feed and residual usage up 150 million bushels while they decreased ethanol by 25 million bushels.  Corn Yield for next year was estimated at 183 bushel per acre, which was about as expected. 
Jun 11, 2026
The USDA report was noneventful and now we wait for the stocks and acres report on June 30th.  25/26 corn carryout was estimated at 2.145 billion vs an average guess of 2.138 billion.  26/27 corn carryout was estimated at 1.960 billion vs an average guess of 1.947 billion. 26/27 World corn carryout was estimated at 281.22 Million Tonnes vs an average guess of 278.51.  That is up 4 Million Tonnes from the May USDA report. 
May 12, 2026
Today was USDA report day.  Old crop corn carryout was pegged at 2.142 billion vs the average trade guess of 2.131 billion.  That is a 15 million bushel increase from the April report.  New crop 26/27 corn carryout was guessed at 1.957 billion vs an average trade guess of 1.933 billion.  The World old crop corn carryout was put at 296.95 million tonnes, vs an average trade guess of 296.33.