4/11/2024

Apr 11, 2024


The April WASDE report was a certified snoozer and the market deflated quickly after 11:00am. Corn and soybeans had been trading steady around unchanged after Brazil's CONAB update had cut production estimates for Brazil crops. The USDA report simply punted on their South American estimates, leaving everything unchanged with the lone exception being corn production in Argentina reduced by 1 million metric tonne. The USDA increased corn use for feed and ethanol each by 25 million bushels which reduced the 2023/24 ending stocks to 2.122 bln. bu. Soybean exports were reduced by 20 million bushels. A couple other small changes on the soybean balance sheet saw the 2023/24 ending stocks grow from 315 mln bushels to 340 mln bushels.

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Jun 11, 2026
The USDA report was noneventful and now we wait for the stocks and acres report on June 30th.  25/26 corn carryout was estimated at 2.145 billion vs an average guess of 2.138 billion.  26/27 corn carryout was estimated at 1.960 billion vs an average guess of 1.947 billion. 26/27 World corn carryout was estimated at 281.22 Million Tonnes vs an average guess of 278.51.  That is up 4 Million Tonnes from the May USDA report. 
May 12, 2026
Today was USDA report day.  Old crop corn carryout was pegged at 2.142 billion vs the average trade guess of 2.131 billion.  That is a 15 million bushel increase from the April report.  New crop 26/27 corn carryout was guessed at 1.957 billion vs an average trade guess of 1.933 billion.  The World old crop corn carryout was put at 296.95 million tonnes, vs an average trade guess of 296.33.
Feb 10, 2026
It was USDA report day today and it turned out to be a yawner.  The markets never really reacted to the report, and the grains finished the day about where they started with corn unchanged and beans up 12 on the day.  US corn carryout was pegged at 2.127 billion bushels vs the average trade guess of 2.227 billion.  World corn carryout was placed at 288.98 MMT vs the average trade guess of 290.48 MMT.