4/11/2023

Apr 11, 2023


The USDA left the corn and soybean balance sheets unchanged in the April WASDE report.  It was slightly bearish in a sense that trade had been expecting cuts to this year's ending stocks.  Corn was trading unchanged prior to the report and the July contract was down as much as 7 cents as an immediate reaction at 11 a.m.  Soybeans were trading around 10 cents higher before the report, were sold off to trade around 2 cents higher but managed to pick up some momentum late in the session and end the day with 4 to 10 cent gains.  Our market will now be driven by weather and planting progress reports over the next month leading up to the May WASDE report.  We still like the $6.50 cash price level on corn and we are still optimistic about potential $14.75-15.00 soybeans.

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Jun 11, 2026
The USDA report was noneventful and now we wait for the stocks and acres report on June 30th.  25/26 corn carryout was estimated at 2.145 billion vs an average guess of 2.138 billion.  26/27 corn carryout was estimated at 1.960 billion vs an average guess of 1.947 billion. 26/27 World corn carryout was estimated at 281.22 Million Tonnes vs an average guess of 278.51.  That is up 4 Million Tonnes from the May USDA report. 
May 12, 2026
Today was USDA report day.  Old crop corn carryout was pegged at 2.142 billion vs the average trade guess of 2.131 billion.  That is a 15 million bushel increase from the April report.  New crop 26/27 corn carryout was guessed at 1.957 billion vs an average trade guess of 1.933 billion.  The World old crop corn carryout was put at 296.95 million tonnes, vs an average trade guess of 296.33.
Feb 10, 2026
It was USDA report day today and it turned out to be a yawner.  The markets never really reacted to the report, and the grains finished the day about where they started with corn unchanged and beans up 12 on the day.  US corn carryout was pegged at 2.127 billion bushels vs the average trade guess of 2.227 billion.  World corn carryout was placed at 288.98 MMT vs the average trade guess of 290.48 MMT.