4/10/2023

Apr 10, 2023


Soybeans trade opposite of the strength in corn and wheat to begin the week. After a slow overnight session that featured mostly lower trade, corn was able to turn positive and print the highs for the day shortly before the close. Soybeans traded steady in the 1-2 cent lower range. Weekly export inspections were within expectations with 805k tonnes of corn and 670k tonnes of soybeans shipped last week. For this week of the marketing year, that was a light number for corn and further slows our shipment pace to 181 million bushels under the USDA export target. Soybean shipment pace continues to build a cushion and is now 60 million bushels ahead of the USDA target. Tomorrow at 11 a.m. the USDA will issue its April installment of the monthly WASDE report where it is expected to see small cuts to the corn and soybean ending stocks for the 2022/23 marketing year. Trade is also anticipating slightly lower production numbers out of South America. Given today's price action, I expect this report to be neutral for corn and friendly for soybeans.

The 550’0 area is developing into an important support area on Dec 23 corn futures.
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Aug 15, 2025
Corn and beans both had nice gains heading into the weekend.  Corn might seem terrible as of late, but for corn to only be down 2 cents since report day is impressive.  That was one of the most bearish reports for corn we have seen in quite some time.  Corn finished the week 13 cents off its lows and unchanged for the week.  New crop corn basis has softened a little on the week as the extra 2 million acres and 8 bushels of yield from the report has also scared a few exporters off. 
Aug 12, 2025
The USDA report today didn't treat the corn market very well.  Both corn acres and yield were higher the result has corn carryout over 2.1 billion bushels.  Corn yield was pegged at 188.8 bpa vs an estimate of 184.29 bpa.  How high is 188.8?  Well…the previous record was 179.3.  Planted corn acres were put at 97.3 million.  Total corn production is estimated at 16.742 billion bushels, which is 763 million more than the report estimates.
May 12, 2025
News broke Sunday that the USA and China have agreed to ease tensions and lower tariffs.  The US is lowering tariffs on Chinese goods from 145% to 30%.  China is lowering their import tariffs from 125% to 10%.  Talks will resume in the coming weeks.  This news had stocks, grains and oil higher overnight. Then of course we had a USDA grain report come out at 11:00 this morning.  That was also a bit friendly.