4/1/2024

Apr 01, 2024


An unfavorable start to the week for corn after last Thursday's friendly report.  Corn never saw higher trade of any kind throughout the session and ended Monday off 3-6 cents.  Soybeans followed lower in what was a very quiet session for soy.  Weaker spreads held the bigger losses on the front months and new crop corn is still 6 cents within Friday's high.  New crop soybeans are roughly 30 cents off of their recent high but have found some simple technical support with the 20 and 50-day moving averages.  The May corn and soybean contracts have also found some simple moving average support.  Weekly export inspection volume continues on with traditional volume for corn and soybeans.  Corn shipments were reported above trade expectations with 1.432 mln tonnes last week.  Soybean shipments came in low at 414k tonnes.  Wheat had its best week of the marketing year and out-performed trade expectations wiht 499k tonnes shipped.  Soybean shipment pace is slowing and is just 10 million bushels above the USDA export target.  Corn shipments exceed their target pace by 45 million bushels and continue to grow.  A good sign the U.S. corn market is low enough to generate demand.

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Aug 15, 2025
Corn and beans both had nice gains heading into the weekend.  Corn might seem terrible as of late, but for corn to only be down 2 cents since report day is impressive.  That was one of the most bearish reports for corn we have seen in quite some time.  Corn finished the week 13 cents off its lows and unchanged for the week.  New crop corn basis has softened a little on the week as the extra 2 million acres and 8 bushels of yield from the report has also scared a few exporters off. 
Aug 12, 2025
The USDA report today didn't treat the corn market very well.  Both corn acres and yield were higher the result has corn carryout over 2.1 billion bushels.  Corn yield was pegged at 188.8 bpa vs an estimate of 184.29 bpa.  How high is 188.8?  Well…the previous record was 179.3.  Planted corn acres were put at 97.3 million.  Total corn production is estimated at 16.742 billion bushels, which is 763 million more than the report estimates.
May 12, 2025
News broke Sunday that the USA and China have agreed to ease tensions and lower tariffs.  The US is lowering tariffs on Chinese goods from 145% to 30%.  China is lowering their import tariffs from 125% to 10%.  Talks will resume in the coming weeks.  This news had stocks, grains and oil higher overnight. Then of course we had a USDA grain report come out at 11:00 this morning.  That was also a bit friendly.